“I will be looking to accumulate things as I've been doing in silver and as I've been doing in Bitcoin.”
Accumulating silver as a scarcity play not yet at 52-week highs with no bubble signs.
“The other side was to be short software. If you take the two of them combined, you're talking about a massive outperformance.”
Short software has been the other half of the trade; CapEx spenders face permanent multiple compression.
“I think you're going to see headline inflation for CPI head up significantly... even right now you're still talking about a 5 handle on CPI if that is all…”
Inflation regime shift: CPI heading to a 5 handle, forcing central banks to raise rates.
“when you run Hormuz for as long as it is and inventories are drained, which is a fact … You just don't have a cushion for weather events the way that you would”
Oil stays elevated as the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, draining inventories with no cushion.
“This could be an extinction event for 30 to 50% of all freight brokers. … An adverse outcome in this case could create supply chain inefficiencies and destroy…”
SCOTUS strips broker immunity, thinning the broker layer and tightening capacity, so truckload spot rates rise.
“Worst U.S. spring drought on record since 1895”
Worst US spring drought since 1895 plus drained inventories sets up an agricultural price shock.
“A lot of these things are on the come, guys. So when prices start moving ahead that fast, that definitely has the category of let's just ride the trend and go…”
ON re-rated on anticipated AI power demand while revenue still falls; multiple corrects when demand stays absent.
“you get the bubbles, you get the parabolas, you also get speed crashes”
AI semis are 5 sigma stretched and 62% above the 200-day; the next phase is volatility and speed crashes, not gains.
“DRAM prices the rate of change has turned negative … I would just be very wary about this in terms of semiconductors.”
Out of Micron entirely after a 5-8 bagger; DRAM price momentum has turned negative, the driver is gone.
“the VIX has stayed higher, meaning you can take it as there's a lot of people that are still buying hedges … that says to me that the risk is growing.”
VIX divergence and bad breadth signal a fragile market poised for a violent unwind despite calm surface.
“This is the Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary versus Equal Weight Consumer Staples. This one historically is a leading indicator for correction...”
The consumer is in trouble; discretionary vs staples at lowest since Liberation Day flags a correction.
“I do not think we're going to go into a crash mode. I do think we're due for a correction.”
Market is due for a correction but not a crash because the Fed is not hiking short rates
“Dogecoin will be the signal to me … when this breaks out above this level, that's when I believe that you're going to have retail involved with crypto.”
Dogecoin breaking above its level is the retail signal that crypto's next parabola has begun
“the thematic part of AI is gonna have to consolidate some of the moves … crypto to me is going to be the next phase that you are gonna be forced to be buying…”
AI semis and the AI theme have to consolidate while crypto becomes the next phase you are forced into
“Here's tokenization. Here's stablecoin. The parabolas are happening here just like Anthropic, and it is the very early stages…”
Tokenization and stablecoins are early-stage parabolas riding AI agents and favorable regulation