Long the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) as the recent sell-off is merely profit-taking and a valuation reset, while AI supercycle fundamentals and hyperscaler capex remain fully intact.
Semis are the ultimate cyclical and this AI cycle rolls over faster than Wall Street assumes
Semiconductor index up 70%+ YTD is classic over-investing; parabolic AI moves set up a correction
Semiconductors price in 2028-2029 earnings already; overbought sector is the biggest near-term downside risk
Semis are 2x the biggest up year ever and most stretched vs NASDAQ in history, set to unwind
A blowoff top in semis means SOXX falls; Burry holds put exposure and added to it
Semiconductor index is mispriced as AI demand peaks on a temporary training phase and customer concentration
AI semis are 5 sigma stretched and 62% above the 200-day; the next phase is volatility and speed crashes, not gains.
Semiconductors are the biggest S&P sector at $10T and lead everything as AI CapEx accelerates.
Semis are the new largest S&P weight and still early innings; long the AI physical-buildout basket