VIX divergence and bad breadth signal a fragile market poised for a violent unwind despite calm surface.
Buy VIX upside because volatility cannot go much lower from a 17 handle with daily 1.5% swings
Long VIX: rates vol and deleveraging from leveraged cross-asset portfolios should push volatility higher
Deleveraging cycle is firing before the drawdown, so VIX trends higher as liquidity needs grow.
Cyber/security disruption will spike volatility this year, so own vol rather than be caught short it