zerohedge — sniff.trade

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27 episodes · 37 trades · 1 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

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1mo

*ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH AGREE TO CEASEFIRE STARTING ON FRI: RTRS *ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH AGREE ON…

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTIsrael-Hezbollah ceasefire removes the war premium baked into crude, pushing WTI prices lower.$86.59-13.65%›

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1mo

*UNICREDIT'S COMMERZBANK BID ACCEPTED BY 12.51% AFTER 1ST ROUND

IDEAS · 1

CRZCRZBYLONG12.51% of Commerzbank shares tendered in Round 1 signals deal momentum, pulling the stock toward UniCredit's offer price$42.65-0.41%›

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1mo

*US TOLD IRAN THAT ISRAEL WON'T ESCALATE ITS LEBANON ATTACKS:CNN

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTUS assurance to Iran removes Lebanon escalation risk, clearing Iran's core ceasefire demand and deflating crude oil's war premium$86.59-11.94%›

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1mo

*IRAN SAYS SHIPS CROSSING HORMUZ MUST HAVE MANDATORY INSURANCE *IRAN SAYS HORMUZ CROSS…

IDEAS · 2

WTIWTILONGIran's Hormuz control regime restricts ~20% of global oil supply, forcing crude prices higher$86.59+11.69%›NATNATGASLONGHormuz LNG bottleneck deepens as Iran mandates a single restricted corridor, pressuring global natural gas supply$2.81-14.83%›

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1mo

IRAN SAYS VESSELS NEED TO SUBMIT REQUEST VIA HORMUZ AUTHORITY

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTIran formalizes Hormuz vessel permitting under today's US-Iran MOU, signaling managed reopening and unwinding the war premium in crude.$86.59-11.57%›

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1mo

ABU DHABI TELLS BUYERS TO LIFT CRUDE OIL FROM INSIDE HORMUZ

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTAbu Dhabi directing buyers to lift crude from inside Hormuz signals supply normalization, pushing oil prices lower.$86.59-15.08%›

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1mo

BOJ'S HIMINO: DELAY IN RATE HIKES MIGHT END UP WEIGHING ON ECON

IDEAS · 1

JPYJPYLONGBOJ's Himino warns rate-hike delays harm the economy, reinforcing the BOJ's tightening bias and JPY appreciation$38.08+2.52%›

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1mo

US TELLS ASML IT'S CONCERNED CHINA MAY HAVE TOP CHIP TOOL

IDEAS · 1

ASMASMLSHORTUS concern China obtained top ASML chip tool signals escalating export pressure on ASML's China revenue$1,659.92+12.22%›

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1mo

USDJPY 161.80 as move to record lows accelerates. Is Ueda still in the hospital? https…

IDEAS · 1

JPYJPYSHORTBOJ leadership vacuum and relentless carry-trade flows are driving USDJPY to multi-decade highs, accelerating yen collapse.$154.21+3.40%›

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1mo

Goldman: "the first hyperscaler to signal that it can slow the pace of spending will li…

IDEAS · 2

MSFMSFTLONGHyperscalers re-rate higher as markets reward the first to cut capex, reversing a 4-year relative underperformance vs. semis.$466.64+20.52%›NVDNVDASHORTHyperscaler capex reflexivity stalls the AI build-out, cutting the primary demand driver for NVDA GPUs.$202.03+3.06%›

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1mo

*TRUMP SAYS US WOULD BACK ISRAEL IF IT ATTACKS IRAN: CHANNEL 14

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTILONGTrump signals US backing for Israeli strike on Iran, threatening to reignite Strait of Hormuz supply disruption that already collapsed with the ceasefire$86.59+14.72%›

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1mo

*US SAYS BLOCKADE LIFTED ON ALL IRAN MARITIME TRAFFIC

IDEAS · 2

WTIWTISHORTUS blockade lifted on Iran maritime traffic unlocks suppressed crude supply, accelerating the oil price decline.$86.59-14.72%›NATNATGASSHORTStrait of Hormuz reopening restores 20% of global LNG flows blocked since February, adding supply pressure to natural gas prices.$2.81+14.97%›

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1mo

Trump: "check out the stock market" https://t.co/M2PyGT6PuO https://t.co/pMlVv5bqPW

IDEAS · 2

WTIWTISHORTTrump explicitly names "Lower Oil Prices" as a US policy win, putting political pressure on crude$86.59-13.99%›SP5SP500LONGTrump directs attention to a "roaring" stock market, reinforcing bullish sentiment on US equities$7,449.95+1.22%›

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1mo

*US STUDENT LOAN DEFAULTS RISE TO 9.16 MILLION AMID CRACKDOWN

IDEAS · 1

NAVNAVISHORT9.16M student loan defaults gut Navient's servicing book and raise charge-off risk, sending shares lower.$8.44-1.43%›

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1mo

*SPACEX BANKERS PREPARING FOR BOND SALE OF AT LEAST $20 BILLION

IDEAS · 1

SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX's $20B+ bond offering converts short-term bridge debt into long-term paper, lowering refinancing risk and strengthening the post-IPO balance sheet.$110.61-36.07%›

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1mo

USDJPY spiking to 161.40, about to break above record highs. Intervention watch

IDEAS · 1

JPYJPYSHORTUSD/JPY breaks above 161 record highs; yen continues to weaken as US-Japan rate gap and intervention fear keep structural downward pressure on JPY.$38.08-1.63%›

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1mo

Memory stonks at all time high and... *SPACEX SHARES FALL 10%, EXTENDING TWO-DAY DECL…

IDEAS · 2

SPCSPCXSHORTSpaceX's meme-driven post-IPO surge is unwinding; shares down 14% in two days from a peak 50% above the $135 IPO price$110.61+35.41%›MUMULONGMemory chip stocks hitting all-time highs as AI-driven HBM shortage fuels a supercycle; Micron is the cleanest US-listed beneficiary$822.41-26.04%›

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1mo

Iran to get access to $6bn of frozen funds to buy US goods: FT

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTIran oil exports resume as US unfreezes $6B and MOU allows immediate crude sales, adding new supply to an already-falling market$86.59-14.94%›

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1mo

*SPACEX SHARES EXTEND DROP TO 9%

IDEAS · 1

SPCSPCXSHORTSpaceX post-IPO euphoria unwinds: shares extend drop to 9% just days after record-breaking Nasdaq debut.$110.61+36.22%›

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1mo

*YEN EXTENDS DROP VERSUS US DOLLAR, FALLS BELOW 161 LEVEL

IDEAS · 1

JPYJPYSHORTYen breaks below 161 vs USD on carry trade pressure and BOJ-Fed rate gap; yen weakness extends.$38.08-2.71%›

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1mo

*VANCE: 12.5M BARRELS OF OIL WENT THROUGH HORMUZ LAST NIGHT *VANCE: NEARLY A DOZEN SHI…

IDEAS · 2

WTIWTISHORTHormuz flows confirmed at 12.5M bbl overnight; reopening floods market with stranded Gulf supply, pushing WTI back toward pre-war $65$86.59-15.97%›FROFROLONGHormuz reopening unlocks surge in tanker utilization; Frontline shares rise as ~500 stranded vessels finally move and freight rates spike$39.67+1.21%›

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1mo

*US APPROVES PLAN FOR AI DATA CENTERS TO CONNECT TO GRID: AP The assumption is data ce…

IDEAS · 1

CEGCEGLONGUS grid approval for AI data centers creates a 5-10 year structural electricity demand surge, benefiting nuclear power producers most$266.91-2.02%›

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1mo

*AMAZON IN TALKS TO SELL NVIDIA RIVAL CHIPS TO OTHER COMPANIES

IDEAS · 2

AMZAMZNLONGAmazon selling Trainium chips externally opens a new high-margin revenue line that expands AWS economics and AMZN earnings power$265.11+8.19%›NVDNVDASHORTAmazon selling Trainium externally adds a credible rival in the AI chip market, threatening Nvidia's pricing power and hyperscaler revenue base$202.03+2.34%›

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1mo

Salesforce is now down a record 13 days in a row https://t.co/eiZXEQldyv

IDEAS · 1

CRMCRMSHORTCRM's record 13-day losing streak signals relentless momentum selling; continuation lower is the path of least resistance$184.32-19.21%›

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1mo

*FERC SAYS GRID TARIFFS APPEAR UNJUST TO INTEGRATE LARGE LOADS

IDEAS · 2

CEGCEGLONGFERC ruling clears the co-location bottleneck, giving nuclear power plants a defined regulatory path to sell directly to AI data centers$266.91-1.15%›PWRPWRLONGFERC mandating grid upgrades for large load interconnection drives a surge in transmission construction contracts for Quanta Services$680.59-1.25%›

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1mo

Accenture Crashes Most On Record As AI Threatens Consulting Demand https://t.co/id9gXdlrfe

IDEAS · 2

ACNACNSHORTACN's record-crash earnings report confirms AI is structurally destroying consulting demand, not just slowing it.$168.85-30.23%›INFINFYSHORTAI-driven consulting demand destruction is sector-wide; Infosys faces the same revenue model erosion as Accenture with no record-crash discount yet priced in.$12.04-9.21%›

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1mo

*CME SUES CFTC OVER KALSHI'S PUSH INTO PERPETUAL FUTURES TRADING

IDEAS · 2

CMECMESHORTCME's lawsuit against the CFTC over crypto perps signals defensive desperation as its exchange monopoly faces structural disruption$271.25-8.00%›COICOINLONGCoinbase's CFTC-approved crypto perps business is now a regulated US franchise; CME's defensive lawsuit confirms the competitive threat is real and significant$142.78-14.87%›