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P Equity Research 📰

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4w

Roland Berger: Humanoid Robots 2026 > The humanoid robotics sector is projected to rea…

IDEAS · 2

BOTBOTLONGHumanoid robotics is on path to $750B by 2035 and $4T by 2050 — automotive-scale demand drives diversified robotics equity higher.$26.29-17.15%›HYUHYUNDAILONGActuators are the biggest single cost item in humanoid robots ($26–79B market by 2035); Hyundai's 80% Boston Dynamics stake gives direct hardware exposure.—IDEA›

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4w

Upcoming Events This Week - [June 29 - July 2, 2026] Stay informed on events/news for …

IDEAS · 4

WTIWTISHORTIran-US ceasefire removes conflict premium from crude; downtrend must hold to keep the Fed from hiking rates.$87.60+18.68%›ASMASMLLONGSemiconductor equipment suppliers named as staying strong while photonics craters; ASML is the dominant named pick with structural WFE tailwinds.$1,645.90-7.85%›SMHSMHLONGSOX RSI cooled to ~42 after overbought pullback; July has an 83% win rate after a down June with avg +2.8% return since 2005, setting up a semis bounce.$532.02-12.27%›SP5SP500LONGWeak NFP (expected 114K) on July 2 could fuel rate cut expectations and lift equities into July's historically strong seasonal window.$729.55+1.73%›

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4w

Jefferies: The Mother of All Cycles > Anthropic's run-rate started at $1bn in January …

IDEAS · 3

TSMTSMLONGTSMC CapEx surging to all-time highs of $65-70bn in 2027 signals a generational AI-driven semiconductor upcycle that lifts TSM shares.$394.88-9.79%›MUMULONGJevons Paradox drives rising DRAM prices as cheaper AI tokens trigger exponentially more compute demand, directly benefiting Micron as the leading US DRAM maker.$810.64-29.59%›ZHIZHIPULONGChinese AI models are dominating global token usage at 20+ trillion/week vs US flat at 4-6T, and Zhipu's GLM series is the open-weight leader driving that surge.—IDEA›

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4w

J.P. Morgan: Eye on the Market > Hyperscalers developing their own in-house silicon ar…

IDEAS · 4

NVDNVDASHORTNVIDIA's AI chip market share erodes from 85% to 75% as hyperscaler custom ASICs undercut it on cost by 30-40%.$199.07-3.52%›AMZAMZNLONGAnthropic's 10-year Claude-on-Trainium commitment and $100B spending backlog lock billions into AWS revenue, validating Amazon's ASIC bet.$265.84+16.92%›AVGAVGOLONGBroadcom's Google ASIC partnership captures 3.5 GW of Anthropic's compute commitment, cementing its custom silicon revenue as inference spend explodes.$380.13+6.29%›TSMTSMLONGTSMC's three Arizona phases totaling 98K wspm make it the cornerstone of US advanced node onshoring, capturing the bulk of sub-5nm production growth through 2030.$394.88-7.03%›

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4w

Google now capping Meta's use of Gemini. "Google told Meta around March that it could …

IDEAS · 2

GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle's AI demand so far exceeds supply it caps its largest client, while cloud backlog nearly doubled QoQ to $460bn — pricing power and revenue acceleration ahead.$361.04+5.26%›NVDNVDALONGAI compute scarcity so acute that Google caps its own enterprise clients — hyperscalers racing to secure more GPUs, directly boosting NVIDIA demand.$199.07+4.37%›

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4w

EMBODIED AI: CHINA’S AMBITIOUS PATH TO TRANSFORM ITS ROBOTICS INDUSTRY > In 2025, Chin…

IDEAS · 3

NVDNVDALONGNvidia is the universal AI brain for every leading Chinese humanoid firm, locking in structural compute demand as China's robotics deployment scales globally.$199.07+4.81%›XPEXPEVLONGXPENG is the only publicly-traded named player pivoting from EVs into humanoid robots, with XPENG Iron running on Nvidia compute inside the world's largest humanoid deployment market.$13.21+8.86%›BOTBOTLONGChina commands 80%+ of global humanoid robot installations, and a robotics/embodied AI closed-end fund offers diversified exposure to the entire sector surge without picking a single winner.$26.29-17.98%›

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4w

Nomura Securities: Global Memory > Global Data Center (DC) capex is projected to skyr…

IDEAS · 2

SKHSKHXLONGMemory/Logic ratio explodes 6x from Blackwell to Rubin Ultra, making SK Hynix, the dominant HBM supplier, the biggest winner of the AI capex supercycle.—IDEA›SNDSNDKLONGNAND flash enters the Nvidia GPU memory stack for the first time at Rubin ($49B TAM), creating a massive new revenue stream for pure-play NAND makers like SanDisk.$1,236.45-39.88%›

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4w

CNBC: How GE Vernova builds the massive gas turbines powering the AI data center boom …

IDEAS · 1

GEVGEVLONGGEV's order book is sold out to 2029 as hyperscalers race to buy gas turbines for AI data centers, with turbine prices up 300% in 3 years.$973.38-6.07%›

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4w

I do not necessarily disagree but to expand on this, a lot of capital is being squeezed…

IDEAS · 3

MUMUSHORTMemory stocks are the most fragile link in the AI trade; a real correction destroys the entire market with no safe rotation backstop$810.64+27.45%›ASMASMLSHORTSemi-equipment stocks have yet to face their correction; when it comes, capital won't rotate back into Nvidia — it bleeds sideways and amplifies the broader selloff$1,645.90+9.19%›NVDNVDASHORTCapital is structurally rotating out of Nvidia into semi-equipment and memory, with no path for it to return even when those downstream trades reverse$199.07-4.16%›

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4w

J.P. Morgan: Power Semiconductor 1. Grid to Rack (20kV AC --> 800V DC) Infineon stand…

IDEAS · 2

IFNIFNNYLONGInfineon is the only AI power semiconductor supplier dominant across all three voltage conversion stages, with Nvidia qualification and direct supply to all major GPU makers.$72.56-20.43%›NVTNVTSLONGNavitas holds the highest-voltage SiC range and a best-in-class 10kW all-GaN platform, making it the pure-play beneficiary of AI data center power conversion demand at the grid and rack level.$10.99-37.35%›

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4w

I don't think the CXMT & Apple news is going to result in anything productive for Apple…

IDEAS · 2

AAPAAPLSHORTApple faces unresolvable DRAM cost headwinds; no USG fix exists, squeezing margins persistently$302.96-8.55%›MUMULONGDRAM capacity stays tight and prices elevated; Micron as a top-3 supplier captures sustained pricing power$810.64-26.94%›

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4w

Eugene Investment & Securities: Zhongji Innolight $300308.SZ > Major provider to hyper…

IDEAS · 1

LITLITELONG800G+ transceiver supercycle drives Lumentum revenue 90% YoY with supply-constrained demand and two unramped product cycles ahead.$723.21-10.17%›

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4w

Hello subs! PCB/CCL update: Here is an update on PCB/CCL from Jefferies - June 22 Ky…

IDEAS · 2

TTMTTMISHORTKyber backplane delay shrinks AI PCB TAM 5-11%, threatening EPS upgrades that underpin TTMI's elevated valuation.$116.46+38.86%›APHAPHLONGOberon architecture's extended life keeps copper cables relevant inside AI racks longer than expected, lifting Amphenol's data-center interconnect earnings.$162.89+0.89%›

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4w

AI Supply Chain: China + Global Wafer Fab Equipment NAURA Technology $002371.SZ Advan…

IDEAS · 10

NVDNVDALONGAI supply chain map names NVDA as the central GPU/AI ASIC node; all roads in the buildout run through it$199.07+1.67%›LITLITELONGAI data center buildout drives optical transceiver demand; Lumentum is a named pure-play in the global AI supply chain map$723.21-10.06%›ARMARMLONGAI chip design complexity multiplies EDA and IP licensing demand; ARM is the foundational IP licensor named in the Design Service/IP layer of the supply chain$240.82-26.52%›AMAAMATLONGAI chip fab capacity expansion drives wafer equipment spend; Applied Materials is a named key Western player in the Wafer Fab Equipment layer$502.95-21.12%›

+6 more ideas →

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4w

AI Supply Chain: China + Global Wafer Fab Equipment NAURA Technology $002371.SZ Advan…

IDEAS · 10

NVDNVDALONGNvidia sits at the apex of the global AI chip supply chain as the dominant GPU/AI ASIC supplier$199.07+1.64%›TSMTSMLONGTSMC is the irreplaceable manufacturing node for the entire global AI chip supply chain$394.88-10.22%›AMAAMATLONGApplied Materials is the broadest wafer fab equipment play on AI-driven semiconductor capacity expansion$502.95-21.15%›ARMARMLONGArm's CPU architecture is the foundational IP layer for AI chip design globally, collecting royalties on every design win$240.82-26.48%›

+6 more ideas →

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4w

AI Supply Chain: China + Global Wafer Fab Equipment NAURA Technology $002371.SZ Advan…

IDEAS · 8

NVDNVDALONGAI supply chain map names NVDA as the GPU/AI ASIC anchor; every layer of the chain feeds into NVDA demand$199.07+1.52%›TSMTSMLONGTSMC is the indispensable AI chip foundry; every advanced GPU, ASIC, and CPU in this map runs through its fabs$394.88-10.27%›ARMARMLONGARM licenses the CPU architecture underlying every AI chip category in this map, collecting royalties as global AI silicon scales$240.82-26.41%›LITLITELONGAI cluster interconnect demand makes optical component makers Lumentum and Coherent critical supply chain links as data center bandwidth requirements explode$723.21-10.17%›

+4 more ideas →

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1mo

Hanwha Investment & Securities: Chinese Semiconductor Equipment - Import Slowdown & Dom…

IDEAS · 2

ACMACMRLONGChina's domestic equipment mandate and CXMT's 17.2B RMB IPO capex concentrate share gains in ACM Research, driving +27.7% revenue growth with profit acceleration to 2028$76.86-28.11%›TOETOELYSHORTTokyo Electron's China revenue is down 18% YoY in FY26 and the structural shift to domestic equipment mandates makes the decline permanent, not cyclical$169.80+25.95%›

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1mo

AI Data Center Forecast: From Scramble to Strategy From Bain & Company, June 2026 Hig…

IDEAS · 3

NVDNVDALONGAI inference grows from near-zero to 38% of 195 GW data center capacity by 2030, driving sustained demand for NVIDIA's GPU platforms.$199.07-6.44%›VSTVSTLONGA 4x surge in data center capacity to 195 GW by 2030 creates enormous electricity demand, benefiting power generators like Vistra that supply AI infrastructure.$144.86-12.43%›DLRDLRLONGHyperscaler self-builds double and total data center capacity grows 4x by 2030, expanding the wholesale colocation market that Digital Realty serves.$191.88+3.38%›

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1mo

My Grudge Against Memory

IDEAS · 2

MUMUSHORTMemory makers are at peak margins now but the cycle turns hard — MU reverses as CapEx growth slows and new capacity floods the market from 2027 onward.$810.64+28.15%›MSFMSFTSHORTHyperscalers are burning cash on memory-driven CapEx at dotcom-era intensity — MSFT leads the most cited example of a big spender whose stock gets decimated when the cycle cracks.$471.25-21.53%›