degentrading — sniff.trade

degentrading

15 episodes · 46 trades · 1 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@degentradingLSD

1mo

last i checked this was under mnav....so buying is dilutive no? https://t.co/mr9Jg8TDCB

IDEAS · 1

SBESBETSHORTSBET buys ETH below mNAV, diluting per-share ETH value with every equity issuance$5.98-21.97%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

Pre Market Thoughts - 26 Jun 26 A very cute 26/26 for all my readers! Overnight market…

IDEAS · 6

MUMULONGMU is outperforming memory peers on a massive EPS beat and sold-out HBM supply; the sector dip is a buy.$810.09-28.55%›NBINBISLONGNBIS is the most resilient neocloud because the market rewards execution; the 240s dip is the level to add.$187.37-22.11%›ALAALABLONGALAB is a dip-buy at the 360s as rebalance flows ease and institutions chase semi performance into July.$309.01-21.94%›CRDCRDOLONGCRDO is a dip-buy at the 240s; technically-driven semi selling sets up a constructive July entry.$208.98-11.69%›

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@degentradingLSD

1mo

Can someone smarter than me on TA tell me whats the target if we break the 300 resistan…

IDEAS · 1

NBINBISLONGNBIS is testing $300 resistance; a clean break would open the next technical leg higher for this high-growth AI cloud name.$187.37-20.76%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

Mid day thoughts - On some of my tele groups, i called for a reversal on the SPX openin…

IDEAS · 5

MUMULONGInstitutional re-risking into memory is real; MU's EPS print and LTAs make today's dip a buy, not a breakdown.$810.09-27.88%›SNDSNDKLONGSNDK's selling fully reversed alongside MU as institutions re-risk into NAND flash on real demand, not rebalancing noise.$1,237.62-40.13%›NVDNVDALONGNVDA hits strong value zone at 180-190 on technical selling, setting up a powerful buyer re-entry before July re-risking.$198.85+4.72%›NBINBISLONGNBIS is the only Neocloud staying green in a broad AI infrastructure sell-off, signaling institutional preference for the highest-quality GPU cloud names.$187.37-21.42%›

+1 more ideas →

@degentradingLSD

1mo

mkt thoughts 25 Jun 26 Frantic moves over the NYO with hyperscalers hating the memory …

IDEAS · 4

NVDNVDALONGNVDA hit -3% and entering strong 180-190 value zone, setting up a buy-the-dip into July$198.85+1.17%›NBINBISLONGNBIS the only neocloud in the green during a broad AI sell-off, signaling exceptional relative strength into July$187.37-23.68%›MSFMSFTSHORTHyperscalers will lag the market as investors question massive capex spending with no clear ROI visibility; MSFT is the cleanest short$471.11-29.21%›AAPAAPLSHORTAAPL leading the sell-off for the first time, driven by memory cost-driven price increases that threaten demand$302.89-4.53%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

pre mkt thoughts 25 jun 26 From yesterday's asia open to today, US yields are lower ac…

IDEAS · 3

MRVMRVLLONGMemory pooling is the next semi rotation trade; MRVL leads with CXL acquisitions already in production$184.17-35.42%›NBINBISLONGNBIS is the strongest neo-cloud name as sovereign AI buildout drives relentless GPU demand$187.37-27.78%›MUMULONGMU FY2028 bull case of $200 EPS at 5-10x PE implies a $1000-2000 price target on blowout earnings momentum$810.09-33.95%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

Post mkt thoughts 24 Jun 26 What a day in markets! $MU reported amazing earnings. 41B …

IDEAS · 4

MUMULONGMU's $41B revenue print crushes estimates and forces institutions to re-risk into memory into July$810.09-31.82%›NBINBISLONGNBIS is the memory complex neo that leads the next leg of the rally after the MU earnings print clears the air$187.37-31.62%›SMHSMHLONGTechnical selling in semis is over; MU earnings give institutions the green light to re-risk the whole sector into July$532.25-18.16%›CRWCRWVLONGAnthropic turning CF-positive in Q2 proves premium inference pricing works, making GPU cloud providers like CRWV the biggest winners$71.85-30.35%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

what in the financial alchemy is this https://t.co/oMf3t9ngD0

IDEAS · 1

AMZAMZNLONGAnthropic's 70% inference GM and 15-20% FCF margins revalue AI unit economics, directly benefiting Amazon as its largest cloud and infrastructure partner$265.88+11.21%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

mid mkt thoughts 24 Jun 26 Some people are feeling fine, some aren't - whats going on?…

IDEAS · 5

MUMULONGMU's ~7% intraday sell-off ahead of earnings creates the best pre-print setup for a July re-risk rally$810.09-21.34%›NBINBISLONGNBIS showed relative strength in a neocloud sector down 7-8%; compute leads the July re-risk rotation, not memory$187.37-26.80%›ALAALABLONGMemory pooling (ALAB) shows relative strength on a red semi day and is named as a July rotation leader alongside neoclouds$309.01-23.34%›BEBELONGData center build delays are pushing operators to switch to Bloom Energy fuel cells to meet power timelines, driving structural demand$205.99-38.02%›

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@degentradingLSD

1mo

those who wanted an $NBIS dip - heres your chance.

IDEAS · 1

NBINBISLONGNBIS has pulled back, offering a dip entry into a hypergrowth AI cloud company with fully booked GPU capacity$187.37-27.42%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

pre mkt thoughts 24 Jun 26 US yields were firm and unchanged for the day. In Asia trad…

IDEAS · 4

MUMULONGMU earnings beat ends technical selling and launches a memory complex rebound through July$810.09-24.95%›NBINBISLONGNBIS's massive relative strength during the semi selloff signals neocloud sector leadership into the next rally leg$187.37-32.53%›SHASHAZLONGSituational Awareness's 5%+ stake and led equity deal gives SHAZ cash to build 102MW, unlocking 1-1.3B ARR and potential 2-3x to fair value$48.84-42.91%›ALAALABLONGMemory pooling leaders ALAB held firm through the semi selloff and should lead the sector rebound as memory complex recovers$309.01-22.71%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

mkt open 23 Jun 26 Writing a little more because of the texture of the moves thus far …

IDEAS · 4

MUMUSHORTMU bounces capped ahead of earnings as traders de-risk; $900 is the key level to watch$810.09+25.52%›NBINBISSHORTNBIS expected to fade from $265 pre-market strength as overall market stays soft; $245 is the key support$187.37+32.62%›SMHSMHSHORTSMH semiconductor ETF under pressure from memory and neocloud sector selloff; $600 is the key level to hold$532.25+13.70%›CRDCRDOSHORTMemory pooling names down 6-10% in broad de-leveraging; CRDO leads the group lower as leverage unwinds$208.98+21.20%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

pre mkt thoughts 23 Jun 26 Right on schedule - just after i made the case to bid prote…

IDEAS · 2

MUMUSHORTMU earnings historically act as a negative price catalyst; thick semi positioning + Asian selloff sets up a painful unwind$810.09+29.71%›SP5SP500SHORTAsian market contagion and thick semi positioning warrant downside protection into US open; author recommends cheap insurance before the market needs it$7,349.84+2.86%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

Situational Awareness will likely file a form 13G for $SHAZ by 29 Jun - Analysis below …

IDEAS · 1

SHASHAZLONGSituational Awareness LP crosses 5% ownership in SHAZ after June 17 financing, forcing a 13G filing by June 29 — a high-profile institutional stamp on an AI infrastructure play.$48.84-48.06%›

@degentradingLSD

1mo

pre mkt thoughts 22 Jun 26 US yields relatively unchanged in Asia. Meanwhile big gyrat…

IDEAS · 4

SKHSKHXLONGSK Hynix ADR listing is a coming catalyst for a rerating of the world's top HBM memory maker—IDEA›BABBABALONGBABA is a deeply discounted proxy on Chinese AI as investors wake up to its 10%+ stakes in frontier labs and its T-Head chip supply role$124.55+15.36%›ALAALABLONGALAB is the clean pick as AI model proliferation makes CXL connectivity the next bottleneck after compute$309.01-25.12%›CRDCRDOLONGCRDO benefits as agentic AI workflows make high-speed chip-to-chip interconnects a structural necessity$208.98-24.78%›