“if crypto is going to make a move, there's a couple leaders I think they're really going to outperform, and the, the RR is still worth it for me. So I…”
ThreadGuy's core conviction position is long Zcash as a leader he expects to outperform if crypto moves, with a defined add-at-560 and cut-below-500 plan. He is in size from a 390 entry and stands by the trade.
“Hyperliquid is a massive disruptor, and the traditional systems want to own the full stack, and so Hyperliquid is a problem.”
ThreadGuy frames Hyperliquid as a massive disruptor to legacy systems with deep upside, where regulatory whipsaws create the delta to capture for plan-trusters. He is structurally bullish even after the SEC pullback.
“Meta has just announced a new Reddit-like app called Forum”
Meta's new Forum app plus a fading casual-user base and weak ad-only model with stock already down 40%+
“Korean stocks are all over my feed... there's basically this narrative going around that employees of SK Hynix and Samsung in South Korea are moving like NBA…”
KOSPI at 8.5x forward earnings can re-rate and triple with nothing changing if the chip-boom narrative holds
“this market has been actually up only, but these PE ratios could re-rate and they could go really like Samsung, we looked at their Q1 revenue could re-rate…”
ThreadGuy endorses the Korea re-rate thesis, arguing cheap forward PE plus the SK Hynix/Samsung wealth narrative could drive a multiple expansion with earnings unchanged. He says it keeps him optimistic.
“chat logs from a major LLM hacked publicly on the internet for everyone to see... I do think it would be nuclear”
A major LLM chat-log leak drives everyone to local/on-device AI; Apple is the cleanest hardware winner
“California mega earthquake, like category 10... obviously stocks will all dump, but you know what I would really do is short Airbnb”
California mega-quake forces a rebuild that bids commodities; copper is the cleanest expression
“China invades Taiwan, takes Taiwan first... the second this happens, I'm not shorting TSMC, we're just longing Intel. We're gonna long Intel to trillions of…”
If China takes Taiwan, US domestic fabs become priceless and Intel re-rates toward trillions
“AOC becomes president. She breaks up Google.”
If a Google antitrust breakup removes the dominant ad rival, Meta inherits the ad market
“Deepseek and/or Chinese AI lab takes the lead. Very realistic. 4 out of 5 is crazy, but very realistic that this happens.”
If a Chinese AI lab takes the lead (DeepSeek-style), you can finally long BABA with conviction