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27:00SHORT
“back March 1st, I called none and done, that we were not going to have any rate cuts.”
@Forward Guidance · David Cervantes
Inflation is broadening beyond oil and labor is full; the Fed pivots to hikes, repricing the curve.
SHYSHORT@ $83.52
$82.41+1.32%
since call Jun 3
38:45LONG
“Higher nominal interest rates can coexist with rising markets … I wouldn't even get concerned with 10-year rates at 5%.”
@Forward Guidance · David Cervantes
Higher nominal rates can coexist with rising equities; a 5% 10-year is not a reason to short stocks.
SP500LONG@ $7,606.20
$7,363.77-3.19%
since call Jun 3
43:27LONG
“those are finite SPRs. They are finite resources that at some point do get run down.”
@Forward Guidance · David Cervantes
Finite SPR releases get drawn down by late summer, removing the cap and pressuring oil prices higher.
WTILONG@ $95.59
$87.55-8.40%
since call Jun 3
44:36LONG
“you had these, you know, parabolic growth rates in exports and semiconductors. And it was still trading historically extremely cheap.”
@Forward Guidance · David Cervantes
Korean equities went parabolic on export and chip growth yet still trade historically cheap; stay long.
EWYLONG@ $217.81
$157.65-27.62%
since call Jun 3
TIMESTAMPS
27:00
38:45
43:27
44:36