Wealthion — sniff.trade

Wealthion

Rotating Wealthion hosts interview macro and markets experts on rates, gold, equities, and commodities.

18 episodes · 83 trades · 6 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@Wealthion

2d

Barry Knapp: I Cut Tech. Here's Why.

IDEAS · 9

GOOGOOGLSHORTAlphabet's capex-to-cash-flow ratio has hit an unsustainable 90%, causing the stock to drop despite raising capital spending.$355.41-4.09%›METMETASHORTMeta's capital spending has reached 90% of cash flow, signaling a peak in the capex growth rate that will weigh on the stock.$565.97+4.76%›MSFMSFTSHORTMicrosoft's AI investments have pushed its capex-to-cash-flow ratio to 90%, marking an inflection point where spending growth must slow.$473.61-19.72%›AMZAMZNSHORTAmazon's stock is under pressure as the hyperscaler group hits a 90% capex-to-cash-flow threshold, forcing a slowdown in investment growth.$267.88-20.65%›

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@Wealthion

3d

Jim Bianco: The Fed Has Changed Forever

IDEAS · 1

IEFIEFSHORTThe 10-year yield is heading to 5.5% because the Fed is failing to panic about sticky inflation and refusing to hike rates.$91.26-0.03%›

@Wealthion

4d

You're Underestimating AI's Next Trillion-Dollar Opportunity

IDEAS · 5

AMZAMZNLONGAmazon's massive shift from hoarding free cash flow to heavy AI capital expenditures will ultimately prove highly profitable.$226.65-2.05%›MSFMSFTLONGMicrosoft's aggressive data center buildout and debt issuance are calculated moves that will prove to be money good.$390.54+0.37%›GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle's transition from share buybacks to heavy AI infrastructure spending is a necessary and ultimately profitable evolution.$336.71+3.11%›UNGUNGLONGNatural gas will serve as the primary near-term engine to fuel the massive energy demands of the US AI data center buildout.$10.04+1.22%›

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@Wealthion

1w

Steven Feldman: The Investment Risk Nobody Wants to Talk About

IDEAS · 6

GLDGLDLONGGold is the essential insurance policy against a $40 trillion US debt burden that can only be resolved through inflation.$370.23+0.61%›VVLONGVisa possesses an irreplaceable moat that has worked forever and remains virtually impossible for competitors to disrupt.$370.12+3.00%›TLTTLTSHORTUS Treasury bonds will be destroyed by the inflation required to inflate away America's $40 trillion balance sheet insolvency.$82.20+1.56%›UUPUUPSHORTThe US dollar will be systematically devalued as the government inflates its way out of a $40 trillion debt burden.$27.64+1.82%›

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@Wealthion

1w

Kevin Muir: Why the Smart Money Is Selling AI Stocks

IDEAS · 4

GOOGOOGLSHORTGoogle insiders are dumping shares via a massive secondary offering, signaling the smart money knows the AI infrastructure buildout is a bubble.$326.56-2.13%›MSFMSFTSHORTMicrosoft is overbuilding AI data centers in a transformational technology bubble that will inevitably lead to massive overcapacity and poor returns.$389.10-1.94%›AMZAMZNSHORTAmazon's relentless spending on AI data centers exposes the stock to massive overcapacity risks as the transformational technology bubble bursts.$231.39+0.31%›METMETASHORTMeta's massive investments in building out AI data centers will lead to overcapacity, making the stock a dangerous bubble risk.$565.97+6.33%›

@Wealthion

1w

Everyone's Too Bearish: Why the U.S. Economy Keeps Defying Expectations

IDEAS · 6

IWMIWMLONGUS small caps are taking the pole position as earnings power broadens out beyond the mega-cap tech names.$296.81+4.17%›EEMEEMLONGEmerging market equities offer opportunity as global earnings power broadens out and the market spreads beyond US mega-caps.$63.26-2.26%›XLPXLPSHORTConsumer staples offer little to get excited about as the sector remains purely defensive in a broadening market.$86.86-4.90%›XLRXLRESHORTPublic real estate lacks upside catalysts as the sector remains overly sensitive to interest rates.$44.56+2.61%›

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@Wealthion

3w

Supercycle = Gold & Silver to 7X. Jeff Currie with Steven Feldman on Open Position

IDEAS · 4

GLDGLDLONGGold is entering a 7x supercycle driven by fiat debasement and central banks scrambling to back their reserves.$370.23-1.39%›SLVSLVLONGSilver is entering a 7x supercycle driven by surging solar panel demand and Chinese supply hoarding.$52.05-4.72%›MSFMSFTSHORTMicrosoft is transforming into a capital-intensive railroad company that can no longer justify its 50x P/E multiple.$389.10-1.23%›XLEXLELONGOil majors offer massive 15.5% free cash flow yields compared to capital-burning hyperscalers.$60.76+11.90%›

@Wealthion

3w

The AI Boom Has a Fatal Flaw

IDEAS · 5

NVDNVDASHORTNvidia is massively overvalued relative to hard assets and must surrender its index share to fund the energy supercycle.$198.04+1.50%›XLEXLELONGEnergy's share of the S&P 500 must quintuple from 3% to 10-15% as capital rotates out of AI into the hard asset supercycle.$60.76+7.11%›USOUSOLONGOil futures are generating 30% to 40% returns through steep backwardation and scarcity premiums even when spot prices decline.$126.93+13.37%›AMLAMLPLONGEnergy infrastructure and MLPs provide permanent, lower-volatility exposure to the oil business while paying steady dividends.$56.06+5.07%›

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@Wealthion

3w

🔴 LIVE From the Rick Rule Symposium: Maggie Lake & Trey Reik Preview What's Next for Gold & Silver!

IDEAS · 4

GDXGDXLONGGold mining equities are on sale after a 35% correction and offer a wonderful buying opportunity.$72.75-3.27%›GLDGLDLONGGold is bottoming as retail sentiment hits a rare 20-year low and the Fed remains structurally unable to raise rates.$370.23-0.49%›SASALONGSeabridge's net present value will double from $4.9 billion to $10 billion if current gold prices hold.$25.69+3.36%›UUPUUPSHORTThe dollar remains under structural pressure as federal debt interest payments spiral toward $2.1 trillion a year.$27.64+4.75%›

@Wealthion

3w

Michael Strain: Why the American Economy Keeps Surprising Everyone

IDEAS · 1

SHYSHYLONGThe Fed will hold rates steady in 2026, contrary to a bond market that is currently pricing in hikes.$82.92+2.08%›

@Wealthion

4w

Francis Hunt: America Is Entering a Slow Decline—And Investors Need to Adapt

IDEAS · 4

GLDGLDLONGGold offers the best protection against fiat debasement as global trade increasingly shifts toward gold-backed settlement.$370.23-2.56%›UUPUUPSHORTThe US dollar faces structural debasement as global trade increasingly prefers alternative settlement assets over fiat.$27.64+4.60%›FXIFXILONGChina offers a superior investment destination over the US due to significantly lower debt percentages and a stronger foundation of systemic trust.$36.98+18.08%›SPYSPYSHORTThe US market faces a structural decline driven by record debt issuance, high rates, and a loss of systemic trust compared to international alternatives.$738.93+0.79%›

@Wealthion

4w

Marc Faber: Why China Is Quietly Pulling Ahead of the West

IDEAS · 2

FXIFXILONGChina is highly investable as its technological innovation and low-cost manufacturing outpace the Western world.$36.98+19.22%›EWHEWHLONGHong Kong shares act as a warrant on China's technological and economic advancement.$23.36+13.35%›

@Wealthion

1mo

Zeberg & Faber: The Rally Before the Reckoning

IDEAS · 7

QQQQQQLONGLong the Nasdaq: the index is poised for a final vertical melt-up phase, with the speaker targeting a surge of at least 15% to reach the 33,000 to 34,000 level before the ultimate crash.$675.56-5.90%›SPYSPYLONGLong the S&P 500: the current market is tracking a late-90s technical fractal, setting up for a massive vertical melt-up driven by foreign capital rotating into the US before the bubble bursts.$744.80+2.17%›GLDGLDSHORTShort gold: historical precedent from 2008 shows that during a severe credit crunch, the precious metal will sell off as investors are forced to liquidate assets to raise cash.$378.13-1.20%›SLVSLVSHORTShort silver: the metal will fail to act as a safe haven during the coming liquidity crisis because investors will be forced to sell it to acquire the fiat currency needed to service their debt.$54.14-1.61%›

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@Wealthion

1mo

Rick Rule: Buy Gold Now Before The Crowd Comes Back

POSITIONS · 1

RRRick Rule

GOLGOLDLONGGold pullback is a buy: debt and currency debasement make the conditions to sell gold near impossible$370.23-2.35%›

IDEAS · 7

GDXGDXLONGGold stocks trade at a discount to gold price and future cash flows; quality names re-rate over the decade$72.75-3.83%›FNVFNVLONGBuy the best gold names and hold: Franco-Nevada, Wheaton, Agnico are the low-work way to win the decade$214.21-2.31%›ATUATUSFLONGMining prospect generators give a 30% hit rate vs 1-in-3000 base rate; patient capital wins$41.37-5.50%›ELEELELONGTether-backed third-tier royalty rollup eliminates the valuation discount; cheap royalties re-rate$15.71-5.53%›

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@Wealthion

1mo

Marc Faber: We're Approaching a Major Market Top & It Ends in Disaster

POSITIONS · 2

MFMarc Faber

TLTTLTLONGLong US Treasuries: yields fall over the next 6 months as the economy is weaker than claimed and everyone's short.$82.20-6.66%›GOLGOLDLONGGold holds long-term but is in a correction that may run into autumn before the printing-press case reasserts.$4,041.03+0.46%›

IDEAS · 4

DJTDJTSHORTShort the Trump family stocks: anything tied to the Trump family goes down, a guaranteed money-maker.$9.88-33.49%›SP5SP500SHORTMajor market top forming: AI-driven indices mask a narrow rally and the whole thing ends in disaster.$7,357.53+1.47%›NVDNVDASHORTAI buildout mints few winners: a record capex boom that, like railroads and canals, ends in colossal losses.$198.04+1.26%›EEMEEMLONGEmerging markets and value stocks outperform as money rotates out of an overvalued US growth market.$63.26-6.61%›

@Wealthion

1mo

Don Durrett: When Bonds Break, Gold Explodes

POSITIONS · 2

DDDon Durrett

GOLGOLDLONGGold's bid arrives when the bond/stock complex breaks and $250T runs for safety$4,041.03-0.51%›GDXGDXLONGGold miners are wildly undervalued and outperform when the uncertainty trade kicks in$72.75-4.76%›

@Wealthion

1mo

Wellum: The AI Bubble Looks A Lot Like 1999 #AI #DotComBubble #MarketCrash #Investing #Wealthion

IDEAS · 1

XYZXYZ100SHORTAI infrastructure frenzy mirrors 1999 dot-com bubble, overpaying sets up a brutal multi-year drawdown$27,875.11+9.66%›

@Wealthion

1mo

Wellum’s Warning: The Tech Boom Is Starting to Crack

POSITIONS · 3

JWJonathan Wellum

AMZAMZNLONGAmazon trades with hidden value: reinvestment depresses margins but compounds market share and returns$267.88+13.76%›MELMELILONGMercadoLibre dominates South America, undervalued because reinvestment depresses near-term earnings$1,870.02+16.63%›SIISIILONGSprott is undervalued play on the commodity space and a strong takeout candidate via its brand$103.93-11.29%›

IDEAS · 5

SOXSOXXSHORTSemiconductor index up 70%+ YTD is classic over-investing; parabolic AI moves set up a correction$495.48+25.46%›IPOIPOSHORTMega tech IPOs are sellers picking the top; expect 40%+ drawdowns post-IPO before any recovery$51.18+13.30%›GOOGOOGLLONGAlphabet is a serious moat business growing above the economy across search, YouTube, AI and Waymo$355.41+0.98%›TSLTSLASHORTTesla near $1.6T at ~370x earnings prices in perfection; any delivery or margin miss re-rates it sharply lower.$309.53+24.15%›

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