TylerDurden — sniff.trade

TylerDurden

12 episodes · 23 trades · 1 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@TylerDurden

1mo

Futures, Gold Slide, Oil Jumps After Iran Peace Talks Delayed https://t.co/IcwzC7OabY

IDEAS · 2

BREBRENTLONGIran peace talk delay and thinning Hormuz traffic push Brent back up from war-low base near $75$91.10+14.03%›SP5SP500LONGWall St strategists lifting S&P 500 year-end targets to avg 7,716 as Iran war risks ease and AI earnings momentum builds$7,350.29+0.03%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Hormuz Ship Traffic Rebounds To Highest Level Since Start Of War, Iran Renews Restricti…

IDEAS · 1

WTIWTISHORTHormuz reopening unleashes ~60M barrels of trapped Persian Gulf crude, flooding global supply and driving WTI lower$87.47-13.05%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Opening Round Of US-Iran Nuclear Talks Postponed After Israel-Lebanon Clashes Erupt ht…

IDEAS · 3

WTIWTILONGIsrael-Lebanon clashes threaten collapse of the US-Iran interim deal and Strait of Hormuz reopening, sending crude oil higher.$87.47+12.54%›GLDGLDLONGUS-Iran nuclear talks collapse and Middle East re-escalation drive safe-haven demand for gold.$4,058.12-0.51%›EISEISSHORTIsrael's Lebanon escalation risks diplomatic isolation, a collapsed Iran deal, and renewed ground conflict, weighing on Israeli equities.$120.63+0.15%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Modern Wars Cannot Be Won Without Kamikaze Drones, Paris Defense Show Makes Clear https…

IDEAS · 4

RHMRHMLONGKepler Cheuvreux rates Rheinmetall Buy with 93% upside to EUR 2264 as kamikaze drone demand enters hypergrowth$1.15-1.72%›LDOLDOLONGLeonardo Buy-rated with 43% upside; record EUR 9bn Q1 order intake and growing Middle East demand underpin EUR 75 target$0.34+25.87%›SAFSAFLONGSafran is Kepler's highest-conviction A&D idea; defense propulsion delivery rates doubling by 2029 and EUR 385 target implies 19% upside$25.48+1.87%›IDRIDRLONGIndra Buy-rated with 34% upside to EUR 76; Spanish defense tech firm benefits from NATO rearmament and drone/C2 demand surge$27.38-22.84%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Hegseth Orders Review Of US Force Posture In Europe, Warns NATO Laggards Of Consequence…

IDEAS · 2

RTXRTXLONGNATO's new 5% GDP spending mandate and US pressure forces European allies to ramp defense budgets, directly benefiting RTX's European missile and air-defense business.$212.62+12.89%›LMTLMTLONGUS defense budgets of $1T in 2026 and $1.5T in 2027 represent the largest peacetime spending ramp in history, and LMT as the top US contractor captures the biggest share.$576.81+11.50%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Amazon Plans $10B Missouri Data Center Campus https://t.co/zjCoLvKZye

IDEAS · 3

AMZAMZNLONGAmazon's $10B Missouri data center campus signals sustained AWS cloud infrastructure capex, bullish for AMZN.$265.88+9.41%›VRTVRTLONGHyperscale data center construction boom has room to run, driving demand for power and cooling infrastructure suppliers like Vertiv.$236.69-29.96%›AEEAEELONGAmazon named Ameren Missouri as its grid partner for the $10B campus, locking in a major new industrial electricity load for AEE.$111.00+2.54%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

More Gunmakers Relocate To GOP States https://t.co/jSmFGcuOOb

IDEAS · 2

RGRRGRLONGRuger's HQ move to North Carolina cuts regulatory and litigation risk, opening a more production-friendly runway for the business.$37.36-7.10%›SWBSWBILONGSmith & Wesson's completed Tennessee relocation reduces regulatory drag and signals a sector-wide pivot to pro-gun states that lowers structural costs.$14.20-12.65%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Gulf Oil Is Available Again, But Asian Refiners Balk At Soaring Tanker Rates https://t.…

IDEAS · 1

FROFROLONGGulf-to-Asia VLCC day rates nearly tripled vs. pre-war levels; Frontline earns more per voyage as long as the strait risk premium persists$40.01-0.46%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Pentagon Taps Argonne Spinout To Connect Military Supercomputers With Major Clouds http…

IDEAS · 2

MSFMSFTLONGPentagon routes military HPC + AI workloads to Azure, expanding DoD cloud revenue for Microsoft.$471.06+25.84%›ORCORCLLONGPentagon names Oracle Cloud as a destination for military HPC/AI workloads, adding to Oracle's rapidly growing government cloud pipeline.$127.44-32.01%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

Chip Stocks Face Major Challenge In The Fed's Rate Hike Era https://t.co/jNNkanO5ui

IDEAS · 1

NVDNVDASHORTHawkish Warsh Fed signals rate hikes, raising cost of debt-funded AI capex that has propped up chip stocks$199.01+5.84%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

June Option Expiration Will Weaken Equity Market Stability https://t.co/R4T68pagvO

IDEAS · 1

SP5SP500SHORTJune quarterly OPEX removes dealer gamma stabilization from equities, weakening market stability post-FOMC and opening room for S&P 500 to sell off$7,350.29+0.44%›

@TylerDurden

1mo

US-Iran MOU Eases Energy Prices But Faces Sharp Pushback From Israel And GOP Hawks http…

IDEAS · 1

BREBRENTSHORTUS-Iran MOU reopens Hormuz to tanker traffic, removing the supply-shock premium from Brent crude$91.10-21.34%›