3X Long Labubu — sniff.trade

3X Long Labubu

16 episodes · 29 trades · 1 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@labubu_trader

4w

The market always thinks of CXMT and YMTC as some fucking charity😂 If you were the CE…

IDEAS · 2

MUMULONGMemory cartel pricing dynamics — CXMT/YMTC are capacity-constrained too — sustains elevated DRAM prices, boosting Micron margins.$824.63-26.74%›SKHSKHXLONGSK Hynix, as a top global DRAM/HBM maker, benefits from sustained cartel-like pricing as Chinese rivals expand production rather than cut prices.—IDEA›

@labubu_trader

4w

Yes output token price is just little bit higher($6 vs $4-$5)… and input token price is…

IDEAS · 2

MSFMSFTLONGOpenAI's enterprise vertical push (AWS playbook) expands margins and adoption; MSFT, as OpenAI's closest public proxy, benefits most.$469.44+25.36%›NOWNOWSHORTOpenAI enterprise vertical solutions displace traditional SaaS workflow tools, compressing ServiceNow's revenue and multiple.$111.71-15.20%›

@labubu_trader

4w

In this interview, I briefly explained why it’s going to be a choppy uptrend. But I mis…

IDEAS · 2

NVDNVDASHORTAI capex ROI doubts create recurring sell-offs in NVDA, the canonical capex beneficiary, with no resolution in sight.$202.09-4.56%›SP5SP500LONGUS equities grind to new ATHs despite hawkish Fed and AI capex noise, with violent but temporary corrections to the 50 EMA along the way.$736.70-0.73%›

@labubu_trader

4w

When market is near the bottom, you would see more and more things like this to clear t…

IDEAS · 2

NVDNVDALONGGPU rental prices remain structurally elevated — the H100 dip is FUD, not a demand collapse, lifting NVDA.$202.09+4.92%›NBINBISLONGAI cloud GPU demand is real and accelerating — Nebius, with 841% revenue growth and capacity sold out through late 2026, is the clearest beneficiary.$190.74-20.11%›

@labubu_trader

4w

A learning to me: Next time when market is ATH and position is super crowded, I might j…

IDEAS · 1

SMHSMHLONGSMH dips to 21d EMA around June OPEX then rips as vanna/charm selling exhausts post-OPEX$528.99-11.77%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

same as mine https://t.co/yzlhxakdIk

IDEAS · 1

MUMULONGDA Davidson raises MU to $2,000 after blowout Q3; memory cycle far from over with HBM sold out through 2026$824.63-27.57%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Inline PCE brought down US2Y/US10Y, and DXY is at a big resistance level, the May 2025 …

IDEAS · 2

GOLGOLDLONGDXY stalling at May 2025 resistance with no breakout catalyst means USD stays weak, lifting gold short-term$376.84+3.33%›EWZEWZLONGDollar stalling at May 2025 resistance lifts emerging market equities short-term as USD pressure eases$36.01+2.32%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

$MU’s ER was a clear beat. I think we can now get $MU at $180-$200 EPS in CY2027. Giv…

IDEAS · 1

MUMULONGMicron earnings beat + 16 SCA contracts force PE re-rating from 5x to 10x, driving MU to $1400 then $2000$824.63-32.33%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Thanks to the Chinese government, $MU’s ER was stable. Chinese HFs used to be the bes…

IDEAS · 2

MUMULONGChinese HFs forced to hold MU by TRS pause, removing the dominant "sell the news" ER pressure and stabilizing price$824.63-31.16%›SMSSMSNSHORTTRS pause pulls Chinese HF marginal demand from KR/TW/JP semis, removing a key price discovery buyer from Samsung and peers—IDEA›

@labubu_trader

1mo

One thing I'm pretty confident is if the market starts to focus more on the "token effi…

IDEAS · 1

NBINBISLONGToken efficiency narrative rotation lifts NBIS as the dedicated inference platform play$190.74-25.35%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Today, China’s reported pause on new cross-border TRS allocations. This could have a la…

IDEAS · 1

SMSSMSNSHORTChina's cross-border TRS freeze removes Chinese HF marginal demand from KR semis, pressuring Samsung lower—IDEA›

@labubu_trader

1mo

I'm happy to see more and more "tokenmaxxing" FUD and "open source model dominates" FUD…

IDEAS · 1

NVDNVDALONGTokenmaxxing/open-source FUD is a buy-the-dip signal; Jevons Paradox keeps AI compute demand growing, sending NVDA higher$202.09+2.01%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Ok, patience paid off, indeed super choppy. Korean was hit hardly by their government.…

IDEAS · 2

XYZXYZ100LONGKOSPI selloff driven by Korean government pressure on leveraged retail; when KOSPI bottoms, NQ bottoms with it$28,437.85-4.81%›MUMULONGMicron Q3 earnings on June 24 are a market-clearing event — author waits for post-ER clarity before re-entering full positions$824.63-25.01%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Not likely. The crazy nuts Netanyahu'll keep hitting Hezbollah relentlessly, while US/I…

IDEAS · 2

WTIWTISHORTNo Hormuz closure, no US involvement; geopolitical risk premium drains from crude oil$86.99-16.13%›BREBRENTSHORTIsrael-Iran de-escalation holds, Hormuz stays open, geopolitical risk premium bleeds out of Brent crude$91.41-13.06%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

Warsh’s commitment to fight inflation to the death is indeed very hawkish. I think tha…

IDEAS · 3

NVDNVDALONGAuthor holds NVDA leap calls as sole conviction position after selling everything else amid Warsh's hawkish pivot$202.09-4.76%›SP5SP500SHORTSPX broke below the 21-day EMA and filled its bullish gap as Warsh's hawkish stance shook out broad equity positioning$7,480.87+0.38%›EUREURSHORTWarsh's hawkish inflation commitment and a rallying dollar index signal USD strength, meaning EUR/USD falls$1.14-0.89%›

@labubu_trader

1mo

One thing I need to correct: This setup is NOT bearish for ITB/RKT. Warsh’s commitmen…

IDEAS · 4

ITBITBLONGWarsh's credible 2% inflation commitment stabilizes/lowers long-end rates, lifting homebuilder valuations$95.81-5.11%›NVDNVDALONGBear-flattening yield curve shields AI semi P/E multiples while earnings revisions concentrate capital into NVDA$202.09-4.20%›EEMEEMSHORTBear-flattening + strong dollar squeezes broad EM as capital rotates hard into US AI semis$64.56+9.30%›SKHSKHXLONGKR memory semis tied to AI supply chain win the within-EM concentration trade as capital avoids HK and India—IDEA›