“And so when the United States starts talking about we're going to put a price cap on oil, I'm getting long risk, okay? I'm getting, I'm getting obnoxiously…”
US price-cap talk on oil mirrors France's bread cap before collapse; fade the policy, go long risk
“That's what we do, baby. We trade fucking stories. That is what we do, man. We trade stories. We trade momentum. We trade attention.”
Market trades stories not fundamentals; Intel rips on momentum and government backing, stay long
“The problem with weed stocks is nobody smokes weed anymore. And so how would a weed stock go up?”
Weed stocks are dead; legalization kills the cool factor and nobody smokes, so no catalyst to move up
“Zcash with a nice day. You know I like Zcash. Up about 6%... it got a Robinhood listing, okay, which is rel— I mean, look, Hood's on the ball right now, you…”
Zcash works as a privacy coin that survived every crackdown; Robinhood listing adds a real catalyst
“It got this candle down on this fake-ass fade-ass whack-ass lie-ass LARP-ass announcement. And so I clicked a little bit... I'm in a little BTC long.”
BTC offers correlation to the up-only stock market; bought leverage on a fake-news dip
“You know how I feel about the Tesla trade. I feel like it's cooked. I've told you how I felt about it. I think it's cooked. I really think it's cooked.”
Tesla trade is cooked; chart wants lower and momentum is gone
“If anything, we saw how quickly this market is willing to flip if the US were to go back to attacking.”
Oil set up to rip on any real Iran escalation; market flips violently as Hormuz seal is broken
“the way I traded HIMS, the way I traded CHIP, the way I traded TAO... is size early and aggressive on momentum green and then get the fuck out when I think…”
Daily-runner phase of stocks: size early and aggressive on momentum green, exit when weak
“This token just launched, CHIP. I don't even fully understand it... So it's basically like AI-backed stablecoin. There's two sickest narratives of all time.”
CHIP is an AI-backed stablecoin TGE that didn't dump in a straight line; first hyped launch to hold up
“NVIDIA has $500 billion of sales in the next 5 quarters. 99% of that is financed... You really can't finance anything under $200 million.”
USD AI solves an unbuilt GPU mortgage market; chip is the monopoly play on AI capex financing
“if you study the crypto asset class... It's mostly people moving money out of the system.”
Capital flight from G10 turning into China drives crypto and privacy coins on a 3-5 year horizon
“you've got like $4 trillion of equity coming onto the market... it's going to be the biggest period of IPO speculative excess in financial history by an order…”
SpaceX IPO is the Trump-ICO top: jammed into S&P passive too fast, then the mother of all shorts
“Yeah. I mean, I think I'm also long a ton of, I'm long all of the Chinese, like, you know, BABA is the worst performing. BABA came out with Qwen.”
Alibaba is the most consequential AI release since Llama, hated and cheap; long the Chinese open-source labs