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5:26LONG
“real rates are tightening global liquidity pretty hard. We're watching, we have a bunch of charts to back this up, but the dollar's breaking out here higher”
@Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville
Global liquidity draining, dollar breaking out higher as capital flees into US assets
UUPLONG@ $28.87
$27.59-4.44%
since call Jun 19
peak +1.1%
19:38LONG
“global liquidity is getting taken out of the market, meaning you get paid to own bonds right now … now it flips the whole risk-reward of like the 60/40…”
@Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville
Tightening global liquidity flips 60/40 math, boomers get paid to own bonds again
TLTLONG@ $85.85
$81.45-5.12%
since call Jun 19
21:27SHORT
“oil's rolling over … if you have this like deflationary impulse, they don't need to hike as much, which means”
@Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville
Falling oil eases Japan inflation, so the BOJ hikes slowly and the yen stays capped and weak.
JPYSHORT@ $163.40
$153.68+5.95%
since call Jun 19
peak +6.0%
“Money rotating out of hyperscalers into AI bottleneck stocks, those rip while scalers lag”
@Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville
Money rotating out of hyperscalers into AI bottleneck stocks, those rip while scalers lag
VRTLONG@ $334.53
$236.33-29.36%
since call Jun 19
36:05LONG
“a lot of things are setting up for, I think, this consistent grind lower in volatility … I feel like we just see vol roll off and then the vol targeting funds…”
@Forward Guidance · Felix Jauvin
Low-vol summer grind up as vol rolls off and vol-targeting funds reallocate
SP500LONG@ $7,647.72
$7,372.68-3.60%
since call Jun 19
peak +1.4%
47:24SHORT
“Something switched and now you do have a productivity boom … now that money is seeking the higher returning asset, which is AI infrastructure.”
@Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville
Bitcoin underperforms because AI productivity boom offers a higher returning home for capital
BTCSHORT@ $62,879.00
$62,926.50-0.08%
since call Jun 19
peak +1.4%
TIMESTAMPS
5:26
19:38
21:27
27:31
36:05
47:24