Third Point is short homebuilders on a dual thesis: the sector is structurally impaired by hidden land-pool liabilities dressed up as asset-light options, and post-COVID cost inflation has outrun what buyers can afford at current mortgage rates. Loeb explicitly confirms the position is live.
Homebuilders all pretending to be asset-light NVR while really committed to land pools; the post-COVID inventory hangover squeezes them
Treated as a safe short by long-short pods forced to hedge, but undervalued on next 2-3yr earnings