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USO

USO

17 tracked calls · 8 long · 9 short · last 90d: 8L/9S
first called by Forward Guidance 2mo ago
USOUSOLONG2d ago
“is oil and war. ... Brent Oil they just candling this thing man They really are It looks pretty fucking strong”
ThreadGuy

Brent oil is breaking out upward as a surprise 7.17 million barrel drawdown and escalating Middle East war fears make USO the perfect vehicle.

USOUSOLONG@ $127.18
$126.62-0.45%
since call Jul 29
peak +1.6%
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USOUSOLONG3d ago
“as the inflation rate goes higher the oil price historically has tended higher.”
Thoughtful Money · Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

The end of globalization permanently drives up input costs, pushing the baseline price of crude oil higher as USO parks 89.6% of its assets in WTI futures.

USOUSOLONG@ $126.87
$126.62-0.20%
since call Jul 28
peak +4.7%
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USOUSOSHORT3d agoFLIPPED
“But then what he doesn't understand is it also is the top of the crude oil chart. So let be assholes today man”
ThreadGuy

Crude oil is rolling over from its cycle peak as China's imports plunge 41.3% to a decade low, signaling a massive demand collapse.

USOUSOSHORT@ $120.49
EXIT$128.61-6.74%
since call Jul 28
flipped Jul 29 · held 1d · record frozen at -6.74%
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USOUSOSHORT5d ago
“Oh my god, oil is going to go higher. How many times are people going to fall for they go up and then all of a sudden when we need them to go down they go back down.”
Jordi Visser

Geopolitical panic temporarily pushed oil to $78, but smart money ignores the noise because crude prices reliably revert to their historical $68 baseline.

USOUSOSHORT@ $135.75
$126.62+6.73%
since call Jul 26
peak +6.8%
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USOUSOLONG1w ago
“the shortage that we're facing late 29 early 200 30 is structural because we didn't explore and drill for it back in 2019 or 2009. Right? It's a consequence of 30 years of underinvestment... The point”
Thoughtful Money · Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

The oil industry starved itself of $1 billion a day in sustaining capital, guaranteeing a massive structural supply shortage by 2030 that will spike prices.

USOUSOLONG@ $135.58
$126.62-6.61%
since call Jul 23
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USOUSOLONG2w agoFLIPPED
“Brent Oil is 83 I still in but I pretty bored WTI is 79”
ThreadGuy

ThreadGuy maintains his long oil exposure with Brent crude sitting at 83 and WTI at 79 as geopolitical war premiums return to the market.

USOUSOLONG@ $119.20
EXIT$120.49+1.08%
since call Jul 15
peak +18.8%
flipped Jul 28 · held 13d · record frozen at +1.08%
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USOUSOLONG2w agoFLIPPED
“I am long oil... I felt like we had a rare spot that I haven't gotten in a while. And so I did what a trader does and I fucking took it.”
ThreadGuy

Inflation just dropped 0.4% in its biggest monthly fall since 2020, igniting a rare breakout setup that pushes crude oil past $80 a barrel.

USOUSOLONG@ $119.53
EXIT$120.49+0.80%
since call Jul 14
peak +18.4%
flipped Jul 28 · held 14d · record frozen at +0.80%
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USOUSOLONG2w agoFLIPPED
“there's only two kinds of markets, my friend, the semiconductor go-up market and the oil go-up market. And unfortunately, right now, we are in the oil go-up market.”
ThreadGuy

The market has rotated out of semiconductors and directly into an oil go-up environment.

USOUSOLONG@ $115.39
EXIT$120.49+4.42%
since call Jul 13
peak +22.7%
flipped Jul 28 · held 15d · record frozen at +4.42%
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USOUSOSHORT3w agoFLIPPED
“At the same time, oil, they're cliffing it... we just fade oil every time chat fade war on oil live a good life it's very simple”
ThreadGuy

Traders are cliffing oil as Middle East war premiums evaporate and crude plunges 25 percent from its highs, making the commodity a structural short.

USOUSOSHORT@ $109.48
EXIT$115.39-5.40%
since call Jul 9
peak +0.7%
flipped Jul 13 · held 4d · record frozen at -5.40%
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USOUSOLONG3w ago
“a rolling front month is up I think somewhere around 30 or 40%. Um why? Because there is some steep backwardation... I'm out pounding the table about to buy this stuff”
Wealthion

Chronic underinvestment in oil fields pays investors 30% to 40% returns just for holding futures contracts even when daily crude prices fall.

USOUSOLONG@ $111.96
$126.62+13.09%
since call Jul 9
peak +26.2%
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USOUSOSHORT3w agoFLIPPED
“I have one rule that I always follow no matter what... and that is to always fade the war I will continue to fade the war”
ThreadGuy

Traders are exhausted by global conflicts and will dump oil to erase the recent 40% price spike.

USOUSOSHORT@ $112.21
EXIT$115.39-2.83%
since call Jul 8
peak +3.1%
flipped Jul 13 · held 5d · record frozen at -2.83%
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USOUSOSHORT4w agoFLIPPED
“Oil, $68 crude. It is officially the lowest oil has been since the gap... Brent oil is also down 2.4%, $71 lowest it's been in a month. It looks terrible. It really looks terrible.”
ThreadGuy

Crude oil is collapsing through critical technical support to hit multi-month lows making the USO futures tracker the perfect vehicle to short the breakdown.

USOUSOSHORT@ $103.27
EXIT$115.39-11.74%
since call Jul 1
flipped Jul 13 · held 12d · record frozen at -11.74%
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USOUSOLONG4w ago
“I'm still very bullish energy and I think this is a tremendous buying opportunity right here... I definitely want exposure to the commodity.”
Thoughtful Money · Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

Oil prices will surge after the November midterms as governments are forced to aggressively rebuild their completely depleted strategic petroleum reserves.

USOUSOLONG@ $102.34
$126.62+23.72%
since call Jun 30
peak +36.8%
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USOUSOSHORT1mo ago
“Oil's down pre-war levels like it was an oil induced inflation boom and now we're back down... if they keep their foot on the neck of the crude price, it will flow into into the finished products.”
Forward Guidance

Crude oil is plunging straight back to pre-war levels as the massive inflation boom completely unwinds toward a 3 percent floor.

USOUSOSHORT@ $104.28
$126.62-21.42%
since call Jun 26
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USOUSOSHORT1mo ago
“They think oil prices will be dropping due to over supply.”
The Real Eisman Playbook

Short oil: guest experts predict that oil prices will be dropping due to an impending oversupply in the market.

USOUSOSHORT@ $107.47
$126.62-17.81%
since call Jun 26
Trade on Robinhood →
USOUSOSHORT1mo ago
“If there's going to be some mega spike up to 300, why are we back to where we were? At some point, the prices of the movements happen... crude prices have come down.”
Jordi Visser

Physical and paper crude markets have converged without a price spike, proving the bullish oil narrative wrong as spot prices roll over.

USOUSOSHORT@ $115.23
$126.62-9.88%
since call Jun 21
peak +5.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
USOUSOSHORT2mo ago
“it's in the 96th … I'd rather be selling like the price of insurance”
Forward Guidance · Tyler Neville

With oil vol at the 96th percentile, sell the expensive insurance rather than pick a direction

USOUSOSHORT@ $137.48
$126.62+7.90%
since call May 8
peak +12.7%
Trade on Robinhood →