TIP
3 tracked calls · 1 long · 2 short · last 90d: 1L/0S
first called by Jordi Visser 4mo ago
LONG2mo ago
“I'm concerned that we're gonna head for an overheat and them needing to slam the brakes with aggressive rate hikes.”Forward Guidance · Danny Dayan
Passive easing into a supply shock means inflation reaccelerates and the Fed must eventually slam the brakes
TIPLONG@ $109.38
$109.58+0.19%
since call May 6
SHORT3mo ago
“We are going to get CPI above 4%... When we get CPI above 4, I don't think the Fed is raising rates, but that will be above 3-month bills.”Jordi Visser
CPI heading above 4% with negative real yields; 1970s-style bottlenecks and force majeure
TIPSHORT@ $110.32
$109.58+0.67%
since call Apr 26
peak +4.0%
SHORT4mo ago
“Year-over-year CPI this time is going to go higher … oil goes higher, everything tends to go, and the inflation numbers tend to surprise on the upside”Jordi Visser
Oil through everything plus war disruptions mean year-over-year CPI surges, killing rate cuts and pricing tightening
TIPSHORT@ $107.93
$109.58-1.53%
since call Mar 22
peak +2.6%