sniff.trade
showstrackprofile
request access
ITA

ITA

8 tracked calls · 6 long · 2 short · last 90d: 3L/2S
first called by Dwarkesh Podcast 2y ago
ITAITASHORT3w ago
“what we've learned from the Iran war and from the Ukraine war. And that is that the technology and this defense tech is the big winner. And and so you've seen this dramatic rise of large-cap defense s”
The Real Eisman Playbook · Steve Eisman

Large-cap defense stocks face structural underperformance as the lessons of Ukraine and Iran shift warfare models toward agile defense tech.

ITAITASHORT@ $242.12
$242.41-0.12%
since call Jul 6
peak +6.5%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITASHORT1mo ago
“declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon”
The Kobeissi Letter

US-Iran ceasefire ends active Middle East conflict, removing the war-escalation catalyst that inflated defense contractor revenue expectations

ITAITASHORT@ $237.69
$242.41-1.98%
since call Jun 18
peak +5.6%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG1mo ago
“they held talks to raise a $100 billion fund … the goal was with that fund to acquire manufacturing businesses and deploy AI across their operations.”
TBPN

A $100B Bezos fund hunting legacy aerospace and defense makers puts a takeover and reshoring bid under the whole basket.

ITAITALONG@ $236.97
$242.41+2.30%
since call Jun 11
peak +4.9%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG1mo ago
“If you look at the end of the last Cold War, Cold War too. Sadly, we were into the second one. But look at how world trade just takes off. It was the miracle…”
Dwarkesh Podcast

A Second Cold War redirects capital from trade efficiency to rearmament, and defense contractors' order books compound.

ITAITALONG@ $231.73
$242.41+4.61%
since call Jun 9
peak +7.2%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG2mo ago
“The transition is going to be expensive, and the expense will fall heavily on defense.”
The Ascent · happyprofit

Defense spending is going structurally up, permanently, with bipartisan support that strengthens

ITAITALONG@ $239.23
$242.41+1.33%
since call May 30
peak +4.1%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG4mo ago
“all these countries, they're going to need to double, triple, quadruple their security budgets … this is a pretty big like crowding out effect as well from…”
Forward Guidance · Quinn Thompson

Surging global defense budgets crowd out private investment

ITAITALONG@ $219.82
$242.41+10.28%
since call Mar 20
peak +10.3%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG5mo ago
“Japan is probably going to become a military power at some point in the future again”
Invest Like the Best

ITA is the iShares US Aerospace & Defense ETF, the most liquid defense expression. Sundheim cites Japan remilitarizing and European defense spending as structural tailwinds. US defense contractors benefit from [allied defense procurement programs](https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/). ITA up 61% over the last year, +0.77% since source date.

ITAITALONG@ $244.61
$242.41-0.90%
since call Feb 24
peak +0.8%
Trade on Robinhood →
ITAITALONG2y ago
“I mean, in the Taiwan watcher circles, people often talk about the late 2020s as the maximum period of risk for Taiwan. Taiwan because military modernization…”
Dwarkesh Podcast

A late-2020s Taiwan-risk window forces sustained U.S. rearmament, lifting defense-prime order books and ITA.

ITAITALONG@ $136.41
$242.41+77.70%
since call Jun 4
peak +79.5%
Trade on Robinhood →