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GOO

GOOGL

120 tracked calls · 84 long · 36 short · last 90d: 57L/33S
first called by Dwarkesh Podcast 2y ago
IN TRACKED PORTFOLIOS
Warren BuffettBUYRay DalioBUYCathie WoodBUYDan CrenshawSELLBill AckmanSELLDavid TepperSELLStanley DruckenmillerSELL
GOOGOOGLSHORT2d ago
“investors are looking at it like, I do not have any confidence that I could name the date in which the alphabets of this world will return to positive free cash flow. There is no reason to think that ”
TBPN

Alphabet is bleeding cash and just hit a $5.9B deficit because it cannot stop spending on AI compute without losing the arms race to competitors.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $330.65
$355.40-7.49%
since call Jul 29
peak +1.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT2d ago
“Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon since they all reported curiously on the same day back April 29th and their stock prices just fell throughout the course of the quarter after raising capital spendi”
Wealthion

Alphabet is burning cash to fund AI, hitting a dangerous 90% capex-to-cash-flow ratio that historically signals a peak and is already triggering a selloff.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $341.45
$355.40-4.09%
since call Jul 29
peak +1.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT2d ago
“Google's negative free cash flow for the first time in like a decade or whatever. Did Google just top the market? And thus, the market is punishing them for spending, for their spending rather than re”
ThreadGuy

Rising interest rates are crushing Google's stock as massive AI data center costs force the search giant into a $5.9B negative free cash flow deficit.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $331.18
$355.40-7.31%
since call Jul 29
peak +0.5%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG3d ago
“Google is down roughly 4.7% near $218 after earnings, but I think this is one of the better setups on the market right now.”
Billy Invests

Market fears dragged Google down to $218 post-earnings, creating a rare buying opportunity since the underlying business just posted $119.8 billion in revenue.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $332.96
$355.40+6.74%
since call Jul 28
peak +9.3%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT3d ago
“I just looked up the MAG 7 performance... investor fatigue setting in with the whole tech thing. There's an understanding that these companies are moving from being cash flow positive... to being gene”
The Master Investor Podcast

Google is incinerating cash on AI infrastructure to the tune of a $5.9B deficit with zero proof of profitability, dragging its historic model into the red.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $336.44
$355.40-5.64%
since call Jul 28
peak +0.5%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4d agoFLIPPED
“the Amazons, the Microsofts, the Googles, etc. They went from being companies with massive extra free cash flow... funneling it heavily into capital expenditures... it's pretty clear that these big co”
Wealthion

Google is halting its massive share buybacks to funnel $205 billion into AI data centers, sacrificing short-term stock bumps to secure long-term dominance.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $326.56
EXIT$336.71+3.11%
since call Jul 27
peak +4.5%
flipped Jul 29 · held 2d · record frozen at +3.11%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4d ago
“Google cloud accelerated growth into the 60s and it's a very big business and importantly the search advertising growth accelerated... Why? Because they're using AI to sell us more ads for more money.”
The Real Eisman Playbook · Steve Eisman

Google is crushing the bearish narrative by accelerating cloud revenue to 82% and successfully integrating AI to drive higher search monetization.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $340.86
$355.40+4.27%
since call Jul 27
peak +7.0%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4d agoFLIPPED
“I think if Google, in the worst case scenario, none of their application layer stuff works, none of their network effects work, and they don't have any good models, they're still going to have the wor”
ThreadGuy

Google dominates the AI race by hosting over 200 models on its cloud platform and printing cash through the cheapest infrastructure in the world.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $326.56
EXIT$333.78+2.21%
since call Jul 27
peak +2.4%
flipped Jul 29 · held 2d · record frozen at +2.21%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG5d ago
“The cloud is growing at 82%. The backlog was up another 50 billion. They expect to recognize just over half of that or let's say 260 billion over the next 12 months.”
Jordi Visser

Google justifies its massive infrastructure spending by pointing to a staggering $514 billion waitlist of customers begging for cloud computing power.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $325.10
$355.40+9.32%
since call Jul 26
peak +11.7%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG5d ago
“when we got involved in Google I think their AI advantages was not as understood as it is now and Deisabas in what he's built in deep mind and in Google you know is still in our perception as the lead”
We Study Billionaires · The Investor’s Podcast

Investors mispriced Google at just 15x earnings, completely missing how its interconnected search network and DeepMind's AI dominance accelerate its scale.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $316.42
$355.40+12.32%
since call Jul 26
peak +12.3%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG6d ago
“Find me a company that's as large as Google generating a 34% profit margin and you should invest in that.”
Thoughtful Money · Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

Google just posted a massive 34% operating margin and 82% cloud growth, proving their heavy cash investments are building an unstoppable tech monopoly.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $320.08
$355.40+11.03%
since call Jul 25
peak +11.7%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w ago
“I am going to go with for my biggest winner for training data owners like the New York Times, Reddit X, Twitter, YouTube etc. I think what we learned in 2023 was that the language models are starting ”
All-In Podcast

Language models are commoditizing fast, shifting the real leverage to Google as they train Gemini on billions of proprietary YouTube videos.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $323.84
$355.40+9.75%
since call Jul 24
peak +11.7%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1w agoFLIPPED
“we had the largest secondary with Google doing 35 billion or whatever it was in the secondary... I contend that the companies that know, you know, the people who know it best are actually selling, not”
Wealthion

Google insiders just dumped $35 billion in a massive secondary offering, signaling the smart money knows the AI infrastructure buildout is a bubble.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $319.74
EXIT$326.56-2.13%
since call Jul 24
flipped Jul 27 · held 3d · record frozen at -2.13%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w agoFLIPPED
“search usage hit an all-time high during the World Cup this year... Ads in AI overviews, monetize in parity with those in legacy search, and Google's search revenue increased by 19% in Q1 and 17% in Q”
TBPN

Google shatters fears of AI cannibalization as search usage hits all-time highs and AI overviews monetize at parity to drive 17% revenue growth in Q2.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $317.69
EXIT$336.71+5.99%
since call Jul 23
peak +7.5%
flipped Jul 29 · held 6d · record frozen at +5.99%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1w agoFLIPPED
“Google just announced this massive CapEx increase. ... Google has negative free cash flow for the first time like in the history of the company. And they're just like pouring money into AI build-out. ”
ThreadGuy

Google is burning cash to build AI infrastructure, plunging into a -$5.86B negative free cash flow hole for the first time ever and making the stock a short.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $318.98
EXIT$326.56-2.37%
since call Jul 23
flipped Jul 27 · held 4d · record frozen at -2.37%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w ago
“ultimately that money will flow through to assets like Micron to assets like MSFT META Meta um it'll flow through to all the the hyperscalers Google um this is an investable thesis”
1000x

Paid AI subscriptions will surge from 2.2% to 50% of households, funneling massive token consumption revenue directly into hyperscalers like Google.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $325.06
$355.40+9.33%
since call Jul 22
peak +12.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w agoFLIPPED
“You know who else is crushing it? Major cloud providers. They're re-accelerating as AI adoption increases. Let's go. This is from KOTU. GCP, Azure, and AWS... now all of them are actually re-accelerat”
TBPN

Google Cloud revenue surged 82% to $24.8 billion as users fire off massive AI prompts that cook for hours and drive explosive token consumption.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $317.93
EXIT$336.71+5.91%
since call Jul 22
peak +7.4%
flipped Jul 29 · held 7d · record frozen at +5.91%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1w ago
“Particularly for Google, like you know, I know I rarely Google search anymore. I tend to search for everything in ChatGPT first cuz I get cleaner, better answers. Um you know, so if I was Sarah as Goo”
Monetary Matters · The Monetary Matters Network

Google's advertising monopoly is crumbling as users abandon traditional search, with ChatGPT already capturing 19.5% of global traffic for cleaner answers.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $323.01
$355.40-10.03%
since call Jul 22
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1w agoFLIPPED
“Google, Gemini. It's kind of in a disaster right now where they push back the release of one of the Gemini models... And then they recently released like 3 I think of Gemini And it like worse than the”
ThreadGuy

Google confessed its 1-trillion parameter Gemini model is struggling right before earnings, setting the stock up to tank even if they beat the print.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $342.09
EXIT$326.56+4.54%
since call Jul 22
peak +7.1%
flipped Jul 27 · held 5d · record frozen at +4.54%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1w ago
“natural gas could be 20, 30, or 40% of their cost of doing business at a time when, you know, they're supposed to be reaching escape velocity with profitability.”
Invest Like the Best

Alphabet is doubling capex to $185 billion by 2026, but spiking natural gas prices will crush the profitability of its massive AI infrastructure builds.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $349.36
$355.40-1.73%
since call Jul 21
peak +7.9%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w ago
“The hyperscalers... debt to equity on these companies is next to nothing. And the combined RPOS, contractual orders that they already have where the reason they can't fill them is because they don't h”
Jordi Visser

Google sits on a massive $514 billion contract backlog it cannot fulfill because AI compute demand wildly outpaces supply despite a pristine balance sheet.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $348.99
$355.40+1.84%
since call Jul 19
peak +3.0%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1w ago
“Calico which is Google's kind of you know age reversal startup... they were able to eliminate 55% of the CML on the skin which basically reversed the skin's age... The first market will be cosmetic...”
All-In Podcast

Google's Calico unit engineered a new enzyme that reverses human skin age back to 31, unlocking a massive $2 trillion cosmetic market for the tech giant.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $339.84
$355.40+4.58%
since call Jul 18
peak +4.6%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT2w ago
“Meg 7, the hyperscalers. They've been the laggards. And they're shelling out cash flow, they're levering up, their cost of capital cost of financing is rising... You're reaching an upper bound of how ”
Forward Guidance

Tech giants are hitting a wall after issuing $194 billion in debt to fund AI, forcing massive spenders like Google to slash their unsustainable budgets.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $338.90
$355.40-4.87%
since call Jul 17
peak +7.8%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG2w agoFLIPPED
“It seems to me the one that's really winning here is Google's Gemini. And that means Google has managed to out Google Google, right? because Google was under great threat from open AI and other compan”
The Master Investor Podcast

Google is neutralizing the AI threat to its core business by beautifully integrating Gemini, driving search revenue up 17% to $63.27 billion.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $359.51
EXIT$333.71-7.18%
since call Jul 14
flipped Jul 28 · held 14d · record frozen at -7.18%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT3w agoFLIPPED
“They're essentially saying that Gemini doesn't have, because Gemini has compute and data. They're effectively saying Gemini does not have talent.”
TBPN

Google is bleeding elite AI engineers to rivals, crippling its Gemini model development and vaporizing 200 billion in market value as top talent flees.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $357.18
EXIT$317.93+10.99%
since call Jul 10
peak +11.4%
flipped Jul 22 · held 12d · record frozen at +10.99%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG3w agoFLIPPED
“hedge fund analysts that you're talking to aren't asking the same questions of Google's investments in AI because they have such an incredible business with Google Cloud Platform and they're able to s”
TBPN

GCP's enterprise AI demand provides immediate monetization, shielding Google from AI capex scrutiny.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $358.89
EXIT$357.18-0.48%
since call Jul 9
flipped Jul 10 · held 1d · record frozen at -0.48%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG3w ago
“Again, this is Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and and Google. Uh it's multiple compression. Their earnings are growing... I still like them as the funding side for this”
Jordi Visser

Alphabet's continued earnings growth through multiple compression makes it a stable funding-side asset for AI infrastructure.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $353.42
$355.40+0.56%
since call Jul 5
peak +3.6%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT4w ago
“I think the Mag Seven are are are sort of in the hurt locker for a while... if the AI trade starts to unwind a lot these hyperscalers 30% of their income earlier this year is from the markup of the AI”
Forward Guidance

Google is a sell on bounces as the unwinding AI trade threatens the balance sheet markups of its private AI lab investments.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $365.32
$355.40+2.72%
since call Jul 3
peak +12.1%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w agoFLIPPED
“full year numbers came out from Amazon and Google... hyperscalers are not backing off. They're actually accelerating the bet... cloud revenues were growing in the 15% range. They're now in the over 25”
Monetary Matters · The Monetary Matters Network

Google is accelerating its data center investments to capture surging cloud revenues that are now growing at over a 25% CAGR.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $358.31
EXIT$317.69-11.34%
since call Jul 2
peak +4.1%
flipped Jul 22 · held 20d · record frozen at -11.34%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT4w agoFLIPPED
“companies are now starting... to say we want to bring back humans... we thought we could replace all of our employees with you know, automation.”
Thoughtful Money · Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money®

Hyperscalers just burned through 100% of their free cash flow to fund an AI enterprise push that corporate clients are actively rejecting to rehire humans.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $358.86
EXIT$319.74+10.90%
since call Jun 30
peak +11.8%
flipped Jul 25 · held 25d · record frozen at +10.90%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w agoFLIPPED
“I mean, it sounds extremely bullish for Google, like if they're out of this tracks with what they talk about on earnings calls. Yeah. Google Cloud acceleration crazy.”
TBPN

Google is capping access to its AI models because surging demand from clients like Meta completely maxes out its $200 billion infrastructure investment.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $353.65
EXIT$357.18+1.00%
since call Jun 30
flipped Jul 10 · held 11d · record frozen at +1.00%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w agoFLIPPED
“I mean it sounds extremely bullish for Google like if they're this tracks with what they talk about on earnings calls. Yeah. Yeah. Google Cloud acceleration crazy.”
TBPN

Meta is capitulating on its open-source strategy in 2026 and funneling massive capital directly into Gemini to secure closed-source frontier access.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $357.37
EXIT$357.18-0.05%
since call Jun 29
flipped Jul 10 · held 11d · record frozen at -0.05%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“One that A got very extended, super overbought... You take some some money off the table and revisit. It will likely be viable, I would guess... Google has the best chart... Of those big names, yeah.”
The Real Eisman Playbook · Steve Eisman

Alphabet provides a prime entry point for investors as it rests from a 4-minute mile sprint and leaves messy mega-cap peers in the technical dust.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $349.87
$355.40+1.58%
since call Jun 29
peak +5.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“AWS raising GPU prices 20% is a positive indicator for hyperscale ROICs and as a general AI demand signal.”
Zephyr

Sector-wide GPU repricing at 20% lifts unlevered IRRs on AI datacenter capex above 20% for all hyperscalers, making Google Cloud's B300 buildout more profitable than prior models assumed

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $329.84
$355.40+7.75%
since call Jun 28
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“I want to be on the record of going long them because eventually they're going to pull back on the spending as long as the revenues and and the profits stay there, I think the stocks can be re-rated..”
Yet Another Value Podcast

Alphabet will crush market doubts and re-rate as billions in AI spending dial back and core ad impressions continue their upward spike.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $352.07
$355.40+0.95%
since call Jun 28
peak +5.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT4w ago
“Google was an attention monopoly. You had to play the SEO game. Now - both Anthropic and OpenAI have delightful search products that are explicitly not Google k”
goodalexander

AI search from Anthropic and OpenAI fractures Google's keyword-ad monopoly, fragmenting ad markets and cutting discovery costs for sellers.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $342.97
$355.40-3.63%
since call Jun 28
peak +6.2%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT4w agoFLIPPED
“multiple compression is an uncertainty over their ability to get their revenues in the door while their profit margins are still growing.”
Jordi Visser

Hyperscalers just dumped 14% this month as the market compresses their multiples, doubting they can generate AI revenues fast enough to cover massive capex.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $337.39
EXIT$359.91-6.67%
since call Jun 28
flipped Jul 5 · held 7d · record frozen at -6.67%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“Google is in a position where it can't sell Gemini to Meta as freely as it might want to.”
RJCcapital

Google's compute scarcity gives it structural pricing power as even the largest AI customers get rationed

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $343.34
$355.40+3.51%
since call Jun 28
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“Google told Meta around March that it could not provide all of the Gemini capacity the company wanted to purchase.”
P Equity Research 📰

Google's AI demand so far exceeds supply it caps its largest client, while cloud backlog nearly doubled QoQ to $460bn — pricing power and revenue acceleration ahead.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $342.99
$355.40+3.62%
since call Jun 28
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG4w ago
“wait they admit it's worse than mythos? what's going on? did anthropic win??”
SuspendedCap

Anthropic's Mythos tops OpenAI on ExploitBench; Google as Anthropic's primary backer captures the win

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $342.94
$355.40+3.64%
since call Jun 27
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“OpenAI is back and they're releasing their new model GPT-5.6 Sol.”
Serenity

Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview scores dead last on TerminalBench 2.1 (~70%), widening the gap vs. OpenAI and Anthropic, reinforcing Alphabet's AI competitiveness problem.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $341.50
$355.40-4.07%
since call Jun 26
peak +6.2%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“ANY COUNTRY IMPOSING DIGITAL SERVICES TAX ON US COMPANIES WILL FACE IMMEDIATE 100% TARIFF ON ALL GOODS”
tradfi news

Trump's DST tariff threat removes a key foreign tax overhang from US tech giants, lifting GOOGL

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $344.82
$355.40+3.07%
since call Jun 26
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“Are using Chinese models like DeepSeek since they're much cheaper than Gemini/OpenAI/Anthropic reasoning models for cost per task.”
Serenity

Enterprise AI routing to cheaper Chinese models squeezes Gemini revenue growth, adding pressure to GOOGL at its 52-week low.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $333.09
$355.40-6.70%
since call Jun 26
peak +6.2%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“as soon as Google announced the offering of the $80 billion equity issuance, that positive correlation has flipped negative... The whole hyperscaler complex is being rerated from a multiple basis beca”
Forward Guidance

Google is bleeding cash to stay in the AI race, forcing an $80 billion equity issuance that transforms it from a cash cow into a risky, debt-heavy spender.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $344.83
$355.40-3.06%
since call Jun 26
peak +6.2%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“These negative changes to the hyperscaler story were partially driven home on Monday when it was reported that two Google senior officers left to go to open AI and anthropic. Google's co-head of its G”
The Real Eisman Playbook

Short Google: the hyperscaler story is deteriorating as capital intensity rises without moats, specifically highlighted by the loss of senior Gemini and DeepMind engineers to rivals.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $336.01
$355.40-5.77%
since call Jun 26
peak +6.2%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“*DOJ OFFICIAL TELLS STAFF PREFERENCE FOR ANTITRUST SETTLEMENTS OVER TRIALS: WSJ”
tradfi news

DOJ settlement-over-trials policy removes the feared structural breakup of Google, lifting a ceiling on GOOGL at its 52-week low

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $337.93
$355.40+5.17%
since call Jun 25
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“Training small models and serving them for cheap will hurt their topline”
Zephyr

Cheap small models cannibalize flagship AI revenue; Alphabet's topline under pressure as Flash/mini erode premium pricing power

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $336.00
$355.40-5.77%
since call Jun 25
peak +6.2%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google is the daddy of all of AI essentially … it is a beast. Google, in my opinion, just own it forever.”
ThreadGuy

Google is a beast to own forever; $80B stock issue anchored the price near term

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $337.52
$355.40+5.30%
since call Jun 25
peak +10.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“mag7 still weak and still trapped in the loop of spending infinite while open source models improve for much cheaper”
Ansem

Mag7 is caught spending infinitely on capex while open-source AI erodes the ROI case; the group stays weak through Q3.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $338.43
$355.40-5.01%
since call Jun 25
peak +6.2%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo agoFLIPPED
“Google had an 80 billion equity raise uh to continue their their their CapEx spend... shorting what the hyperscalers are selling, which is their stock”
1000x

13-year-olds are buying Google just as the company dilutes shareholders with an $80 billion equity raise to fund AI data centers, signaling a saturated top.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $343.71
EXIT$317.69+7.57%
since call Jun 24
peak +7.9%
flipped Jul 22 · held 28d · record frozen at +7.57%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo agoFLIPPED
“it is the fourth headline about this in a week that they have lost major talent to Anthropic … Everybody is going to Anthropic.”
ThreadGuy

DeepMind's marquee researchers keep defecting to Anthropic, so the market reprices Google's AI lead lower.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $345.24
EXIT—
since call Jun 24
peak +8.3%
flipped Jul 27 · held 33d · record frozen
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“GUC's biggest growth driver now is Google's 3nm CPU project (Axion)”
dnystedt

Google's Axion 3nm CPU is GUC's primary growth driver, confirming Google's custom silicon lead as multiple chip players compete to serve it

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $349.19
$355.40+1.78%
since call Jun 24
peak +6.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“we are raising the life cycle volume expectations for Humufish + Triggerfish to 6-7 million units (up from 5 million)”
Jukan

Google's TPU program is expanding faster than expected, with MediaTek now building its CPU and volume raised to 6-7M units, signaling deeper custom silicon control.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $352.95
$355.40+0.70%
since call Jun 23
peak +7.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“it also coincided with Google dragging down the broader US equity market”
AU🧲

Google is actively dragging down the broader US equity market, adding momentum to its -24% YTD slide.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $352.69
$355.40-0.77%
since call Jun 23
peak +8.4%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“ASIC-based server shipments are expected to surge 64.2% this year over last, with AWS accounting for 20.4% of the market, while Google holds 46%”
dnystedt

Google holds 46% of the ASIC server market via TPU — the dominant position in the fastest-growing segment of AI infrastructure in 2026.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $342.89
$355.40+3.65%
since call Jun 22
peak +7.4%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“You can again look at YouTube, you can look at their search business, you can look at their AI business and, you know, Waymo and so forth.”
Wealthion · Jonathan Wellum

Alphabet is a serious moat business growing above the economy across search, YouTube, AI and Waymo

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $351.97
$355.40+0.98%
since call Jun 22
peak +6.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google and MediaTek Deepen TPU v9 Collaboration with Upgraded Triggerfish, Targeting AI Agents, Reinforcement Learning, and Effective Compute Maximization”
Jukan

Google's Triggerfish TPU v9 generation deepens its proprietary AI silicon stack — faster RL and agent inference in-house means lower compute costs and less reliance on third-party chips as AI workloads scale.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $360.83
$355.40-1.50%
since call Jun 22
peak +2.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo agoFLIPPED
“Gemini has fallen way behind. So for all of you Google fans out there thinking that they're going to dominate this, I don't know what's going on... Google and Meta may have the worst the most to lose ”
Jordi Visser

Massive capex spending creates a depreciation time bomb for Google while its Gemini model falls behind rivals in the shift to AI agents.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $368.03
EXIT$359.91+2.21%
since call Jun 21
flipped Jul 5 · held 15d · record frozen at +2.21%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“I'm a lot less concerned after watching this”
goodalexander

Trump's Anthropic détente lifts regulatory overhang; Google, Anthropic's largest institutional backer, is the direct public-market winner.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $359.53
$355.40-1.15%
since call Jun 19
peak +1.8%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo agoFLIPPED
“what's going to happen there is that their equities are going to struggle relative to the semi”
1000x

Alphabet is selling its own equity to raise 100 billion for data centers, making the stock a clear short compared to the chipmakers cashing those checks.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $368.03
EXIT$317.69+13.68%
since call Jun 19
peak +14.0%
flipped Jul 22 · held 33d · record frozen at +13.68%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“After nearly 9 years, I have decided to leave Google DeepMind and join Anthropic (after taking some time to recharge).”
Zephyr

Nobel Prize-winning AlphaFold lead defecting from DeepMind to Anthropic signals Google's AI science bench is weakening.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $366.92
$355.40+3.14%
since call Jun 19
peak +13.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“Things are not looking good for Google They have missed the agentic coding train”
Zephyr

Google has fallen to 5th place on AI benchmarks with talent fleeing and no competitive frontier model, threatening its core tech premium.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $367.86
$355.40+3.39%
since call Jun 19
peak +13.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“"Standardize evaluation" means they're going to ban open source models”
MTS

Govt jailbreak evaluation framework targets open-source AI, handing closed-source Google a structural regulatory moat

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $361.78
$355.40-1.76%
since call Jun 19
peak +1.8%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo agoFLIPPED
“In 2026, Google will be spending $180 to $190 billion on AI CapEx, and that is just too much for its cash flow.”
The Real Eisman Playbook · Steve Eisman

Google's $180-190B AI capex outruns its cash flow, forcing equity raises; commoditizing returns compress the multiple.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $367.21
EXIT—
since call Jun 18
flipped Jun 29 · held 11d · record frozen
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google is just obvious. I mean, you can buy this every fucking day and whenever you have discretionary, I think you can literally just buy this and be cool.”
Market Bubble · Ansem

Google is an obvious buy you can add to any day with spare cash.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $373.25
$355.40-4.78%
since call Jun 18
peak +1.7%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“it does feel like the Google dilution shot a gun in the air … started like a prisoner's dilemma race”
ThreadGuy

Google's pivot from buybacks to selling $84.75B of new stock dilutes per-share value and caps upside.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $365.38
$355.40+2.73%
since call Jun 15
peak +14.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“that is where all of the marketing spend is and will continue to be … these companies are like the best buy in the world because they're both producing AI…”
1000x · Avi Felman

Long Google as the direct beneficiary of AI marketing spend, building data centers and AI

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $358.07
$355.40-0.74%
since call Jun 10
peak +4.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“Notice that we just spoke nearly an hour and a half about tech stocks without talking about Google. It's, it's the most consensus buy-side long. Everyone's…”
ThreadGuy

Google is the most consensus long but Gemini is a weak model and the cloud backlog looks suspect, so fade it.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $351.91
$355.40-0.99%
since call Jun 10
peak +10.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“However, if I'm Google and I don't speak for Google and I decide to arbitrarily cut the cost of tokens to 80%... What happens to the business models of OpenAI…”
All-In Podcast

Google can cut token prices ~80% and break OpenAI/Anthropic's unit economics, owning the AI cost war.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $355.34
$355.40+0.02%
since call Jun 9
peak +3.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONGPOSITION1mo ago
“Gemini can never be counted out. We love Google. As well. It's one of our largest positions.”
Invest Like the Best

Google's Gemini stays a top-3 model winner, justifying it as one of the firm's largest positions

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $364.38
$355.40-2.46%
since call Jun 9
peak +1.8%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT1mo ago
“Google to frontr run them with that 80 billion plus a mandatory convert. I never thought I'd ever see ever Google issue a mandatory convertible which is a classic warning sign because it's it's a very”
The Master Investor Podcast

Short Google: The company is aggressively dumping stock to raise capital, issuing an $80 billion mandatory convertible note which serves as a classic warning sign of market hubris and liquidity drain.

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $372.78
$355.40+4.66%
since call Jun 9
peak +13.1%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google writ large, I think Google's underrated. I think it's going to be the first $10 trillion company in our lifetime. I think they have all the assets that …”
All-In Podcast

Google underrated; first $10T company: model + sales force + hyperscaler assets win the AI race.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $367.30
$355.40-3.24%
since call Jun 8
peak +1.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGSHORT1mo ago
“First, they’ve used up most of their annual cash flow, then they’ve taken on debt to fund them, and now Alphabet (GOOG) has even resorted to its first major equity issuance since 2004... Despite their”
Kuppy's Korner · Praetorian Capital

Alphabet faces a severe valuation re-rating as it resorts to its first major equity issuance since 2004 to fund negative-ROIC datacenters.

GOOGOOGSHORT@ $365.00
$353.74+3.09%
since call Jun 7
peak +12.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google has the luxury of funding the compute buildout with public equity, which puts it a notch above every AI company that can't. You could think about…”
ThreadGuy

ThreadGuy leans long Google, reading Berkshire's $10B no-discount buy of the $80B equity raise as a powerful FOMO signal and Google's ability to fund AI capex with equity as a structural edge.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $362.43
$355.40-1.94%
since call Jun 2
peak +3.0%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“The search giant is showing its competitive advantage in an area that increasingly matters for artificial intelligence: access to money. … In AI, money talks.”
TBPN

Capital is the AI moat, and the capital-richest hyperscaler with its own TPUs widens its lead as it outspends rivals.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $372.22
$355.40-4.52%
since call Jun 2
peak +1.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1mo ago
“Google is the hyperscaler that is poised to make the most profit”
Stratechery

Ben Thompson argues Google is becoming a capital company that dominates AI compute supply, with Berkshire 10B stake as validation. Long GOOGL via the Hyperliquid equity perp.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $373.85
$355.40-4.93%
since call Jun 2
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“Parts of Europe are the cleanest example of the risk: capable people, real institutions, deep capital…”
The Ascent · happyprofit

Europe over-regulates and exports its stack; demand, capital and talent route to US hyperscalers that own chips-to-models.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $384.24
$355.40-7.50%
since call May 30
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“Apple rents Gemini to power Siri unbranded, making Google the AI brain of 2B+ devices and a recurring buyer.”
TBPN

Apple rents Gemini to power Siri unbranded, making Google the AI brain of 2B+ devices and a recurring buyer.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $389.80
$355.40-8.83%
since call May 29
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“If you look at self-driving, that's obviously happening with Waymo with 3,000 vehicles and there'll be many more on the roads.”
All-In Podcast

Waymo scaling from 3,000 vehicles displaces drivers; the non-ownership ride market grows through the shift

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $397.44
$355.40-10.58%
since call May 29
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“I think going to a city where you can't get in a Waymo or a cyber cab is going to feel barbaric and unsafe... whatever individual municipalities decide... I…”
All-In Podcast

Gavin's conviction that robotaxis are inevitable and that municipal bans won't hold is a directional bet on the scaled self-driving leader. Waymo sits inside Alphabet, so the cleanest public expression of that view is a GOOGL long.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $383.33
$355.40-7.28%
since call May 23
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“Fashion-led stealth AI glasses, the Google/Gentle Monster product, become the winning eyewear form factor.”
TBPN

Fashion-led stealth AI glasses, the Google/Gentle Monster product, become the winning eyewear form factor.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $393.43
$355.40-9.67%
since call May 20
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONGPOSITION2mo ago
“Google... they had that TPU advantage, which is now gone. The reason I think they're still in a great position is just they have the most compute of…”
Invest Like the Best

Google's position stays strong on the largest compute installed base and unique data despite losing its TPU cost edge.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $382.56
$355.40-7.10%
since call May 20
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo agoFLIPPED
“they're in a great position for the next era of the AI story. So, uh GCP is growing faster than AWS and Azure. Um Wall Street has basically fully repriced the company um uh as a like a full stack AI w”
TBPN

Google is positioned as a full-stack AI winner with GCP outgrowing peers and core search queries hitting all-time highs.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $388.91
EXIT$357.18-8.16%
since call May 19
flipped Jul 10 · held 52d · record frozen at -8.16%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“Google Assistant is going to end up being kind of a real kick-ass product once they get this flywheel going.”
All-In Podcast

Friedberg argues Google can win the AI assistant layer by wiring Gemini into Gmail, Calendar, Drive and Photos where users' personal data already lives, calling it a formidable, kick-ass product once the flywheel turns.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $393.50
$355.40-9.68%
since call May 15
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“So last month, you know, we signed a 5-gigawatt deal with Google and with Broadcom for TPUs starting in 2027. We also signed a deal with Amazon for Trainium…”
Invest Like the Best

Anthropic's TPU buy makes Google/Broadcom the picks-and-shovels winners of its compute boom

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $380.97
$355.40-6.71%
since call May 13
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo agoFLIPPED
“At this pace, Joseph Jacks, Anthropic will surpass Alphabet in revenue by mid-2028. … A company that wasn't even close to OpenAI a year ago.”
Jordi Visser

Anthropic explodes past Alphabet in revenue, demand for intelligence is unlimited

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $401.76
EXIT—
since call May 10
flipped Jun 21 · held 41d · record frozen
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“I'm sure that Google won't be asleep at the wheel. They're very, very good at coding. They've got a really good team”
All-In Podcast

Google Cloud growing 63% and a real shot at coding share, still only 24x earnings

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $406.67
$355.40-12.61%
since call May 8
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“I think Google's great.”
Market Bubble

Google rides AI cloud spend; Anthropic's $200B commitment underwrites the growth.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $403.59
$355.40-11.94%
since call May 7
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“The next wave of AI is going to be consumer AI. Consumer AI is going to be the big prize. Can you think of a consumer AI company? You know, maybe OpenAI, but…”
Invest Like the Best

Consumer AI is the next big prize; incumbents are all chasing enterprise, leaving the field open in 12-24 months

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $388.15
$355.40-8.44%
since call May 5
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2mo ago
“I think Google's going to be the most valuable company in the world. I think it's just going to smash. If there's one trade, which is a company is going to…”
ThreadGuy

Google will be the most valuable company; dominates AI as workforces get cut and margins expand

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $375.37
$355.40-5.32%
since call May 4
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“Google Cloud revenue 63% year over year”
TBPN

Google won the AI capex debate: Search +19%, Cloud +63%, backlog doubled to $460B, full-stack play.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $379.53
$355.40-6.36%
since call May 1
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“Look at that thing fucking go, Google! Goddamn, this is the Mando stock if I've ever seen one. Who's long Google? Is anyone long Google? This is incredible.”
ThreadGuy

Google smashes earnings on Cloud and Gemini momentum; the obvious leader ripping post-print.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $353.51
$355.40+0.54%
since call Apr 29
peak +4.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“If no single closed-source lab wins AI, the diversified moat wins; Gemini's surge re-rates Alphabet up.”
We Study Billionaires · Chris Bloomstran

If no single closed-source lab wins AI, the diversified moat wins; Gemini's surge re-rates Alphabet up.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $345.40
$355.40+2.90%
since call Apr 25
peak +8.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“OCS used to be optional before, but now it has become an integral part of Google's data center networking approach”
Semi Doped

Google just made a once-a-decade leap in how its AI data centers are wired, giving it a real edge in running AI cheaply and fast.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $346.93
$355.40+2.44%
since call Apr 24
peak +9.1%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“Ternus is taking over Apple at a time when the company has largely sat on the sidelines of the AI race, going so far as to outsource the technology powering…”
TBPN

Apple outsourcing Siri's brain to Gemini hands Google the iPhone AI distribution win and confirms model leadership.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $338.42
$355.40+5.02%
since call Apr 21
peak +12.0%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“Well, I think Google's clearly in the mix. I mean, DeepMind has an outstanding team”
All-In Podcast

Hyperscalers own 60% of compute; can throttle frontier labs to buy time to catch up

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $337.23
$355.40+5.39%
since call Apr 17
peak +10.8%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“do not count out Meta, right? I think Meta is absolutely in this game. Google is absolutely in this game.”
All-In Podcast

Fortress balance sheet and full-stack compute keep Google firmly in the frontier-model race

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $313.00
$355.40+13.55%
since call Apr 10
peak +16.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG3mo ago
“Siri is embarrassingly stupid. … Do you want ChatGPT to do it? It's like, why can't Siri do it?”
TBPN

Siri's failure forced Apple to rent Google's Gemini brain; the model-layer incumbent captures the value, not the startups.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $323.41
$355.40+9.89%
since call Apr 8
peak +17.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONGPOSITION4mo ago
“And I said I made a bet publicly on the bank. I said, I am buying a bunch of Google because I believe even though they're behind, it's because they're too…”
All-In Podcast

Calacanis recounts a public bet that he bought a lot of Google on the view that it was behind only because it was too precious to ship, and that pressure to release more would close the gap. The catalyst he cites is Sergey pushing the team to release the good stuff.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $300.31
$355.40+18.35%
since call Mar 23
peak +23.4%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONG4mo ago
“Google has TPU, Amazon has Inferentia and Trainium. You know, everybody's sort of spinning up their own version of I think I can out Nvidia Nvidia, even…”
All-In Podcast

Google's TPU is the most credible in-house challenger to Nvidia and a Gemini cost lever

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $309.74
$355.40+14.74%
since call Mar 19
peak +21.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG4mo ago
“Google had Nano Banana and Gemini 3, which caused their user metrics to skyrocket. And leadership at Google was like, oh... we have to double compute every...…”
Dwarkesh Podcast

Google woke up late and is now absurdly AGI-pilled, buying power, land and compute aggressively.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $297.68
$355.40+19.39%
since call Mar 13
peak +23.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG4mo ago
“it's only going to take 90 days for Google to flip on a virtual version of co-work. And once Google like has this integrated with G Suite... I think Google…”
All-In Podcast

Chamath's bull case is distribution plus owned infrastructure: Google can clone the agentic co-work product into G Suite within a quarter and, because it runs its own cloud, undercut Anthropic on margin. Almost on cue in the episode Google announced Workspace agent integration with 40 skills.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $306.09
$355.40+16.11%
since call Mar 6
peak +23.9%
Trade on Robinhood →
GOOGOOGLLONGPOSITION5mo ago
“the revenues from all these companies are basically gonna get back in and reinvested in the mega caps that can actually create them internally.”
1000x · Avi Felman

Mega-cap tech absorbs SaaS revenues as companies build in-house, the best trade right now: long the giants

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $302.02
$355.40+17.67%
since call Feb 17
peak +23.7%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG5mo ago
“capital concentration will continue … MAG7 is going to underperform and they might underperform for 3 to 6 months…”
1000x · Avi Felman

AI CapEx boom drives capital into the biggest tech players, so own MAG7 leaders not the broad index

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $316.89
$355.40+12.15%
since call Feb 12
peak +19.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG5mo ago
“net holdings of property, plants, and equipment have risen by more than $215B, the fastest growth on record … these companies now actively hold nearly $700B…”
Apricitas Economics

AI capex boom drives hyperscaler property and equipment to record highs; Alphabet leads the buildout

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $322.33
$355.40+10.26%
since call Feb 10
peak +15.5%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG6mo ago
“I think it's a tremendous opportunity for Google because the question is who has your data? Google has all my email, my calendar, my documents... So I think…”
All-In Podcast

Sacks reframes the Clawd/Malt Bot mania as proof the AI form factor is shifting from chatbot to data-connected agent, and argues whoever already holds your email and calendar wins by default. That points squarely at Google, not a startup.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $330.29
$355.40+7.60%
since call Jan 31
peak +10.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG6mo ago
“The good news is being first doesn't matter... Your inventory is not going anywhere... Gemini doesn't need to monetize anytime soon. So they can just sit…”
Invest Like the Best

Gemini can wait and win as a zero-ad or late-monetizing platform; no first-mover penalty, deep ad data.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $344.54
$355.40+3.15%
since call Jan 29
peak +9.1%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG6mo ago
“No, YouTube, uh, is about 12%.”
Invest Like the Best

YouTube is a real substitution threat to Netflix, set to grab more time as AI creators improve.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $318.29
$355.40+11.66%
since call Jan 6
peak +17.6%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT7mo ago
“YouTube every week, something's different... the rules change all the time. And you don't find out that the rules at YouTube have changed until your producer…”
All-In Podcast

Erratic demonetization and age-gating drive top creators off YouTube toward Netflix

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $314.70
$355.40-12.93%
since call Dec 24
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG7mo ago
“when you see a third of rides in San Francisco and LA move to Waymo without the driver in it, it's really hard to say it's not happening”
All-In Podcast

Waymo already taking a third of SF and LA rides signals autonomous ride-share scaling fast

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $315.20
$355.40+12.75%
since call Dec 13
peak +20.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORTPOSITION7mo ago
“So I think Google for sure has this temporary advantage right now from a pre-training perspective. I think it's also important that they've been the lowest…”
Invest Like the Best

Google's pre-training edge fades as Blackwell models arrive, ending its low-cost-token oxygen-sucking strategy

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $319.64
$355.40-11.19%
since call Dec 9
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG7mo ago
“The depth, the flywheel that Google has built gives them such extraordinary advantage.”
All-In Podcast

Gemini 3 reversed the search-death narrative; distribution flywheel plus risk-on posture is re-rating the stock

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $325.45
$355.40+9.20%
since call Dec 6
peak +16.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG8mo ago
“It's not going to be a winner-take-all. Certain technical advantages seem limited in timeframe. There's always this kind of constant leapfrogging of the model…”
Invest Like the Best

AI foundation models become like cloud, multiple durable winners with real profit pools, not winner take all

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $322.63
$355.40+10.16%
since call Dec 2
peak +18.0%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG8mo ago
“it appears that Gemini have found a way to get more out of pre-training.”
Dwarkesh Podcast

Gemini's pre-training edge lets Google extract more from scaling than rivals

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $320.70
$355.40+10.82%
since call Nov 25
peak +15.7%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLSHORT9mo ago
“its share of web search jobs has fallen to the lowest level since 2011”
Apricitas Economics

Search-portal businesses face the steepest structural decline as AI erodes the core franchise

GOOGOOGLSHORT@ $259.30
$355.40-37.06%
since call Oct 19
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG9mo ago
“I'm very bullish on Google, actually.”
Invest Like the Best

Google wins AI because consumer reach feeds the data flywheel rivals like Anthropic lack.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $247.51
$355.40+43.59%
since call Oct 6
peak +51.9%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG10mo ago
“I was pretty bearish Google like 2 years ago, but I'm like super bullish Google... They're waking up on every front. You know, they're taking the TPUs,…”
Invest Like the Best

Google is waking up on every front, TPUs, models, and infrastructure, and is well positioned to win consumer and pro.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $240.36
$355.40+47.86%
since call Sep 30
peak +52.8%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG10mo ago
“publishing— all publishers— what's happening with Google is just— it is going, you know, they say it goes slow and then it goes fast. It's going fast... If…”
Invest Like the Best

Google search dependence is fast becoming an extinction event for publishers as AI eats search traffic.

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $252.23
$355.40+40.91%
since call Sep 23
peak +47.7%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG1y ago
“Unlike physical goods, intangible assets are not subject to tariffs. … high intangible value global firms are uniquely positioned to deliver the benefits of…”
Sparkline Capital

High-intangible global firms are insulated from tariffs and best positioned in a trade war

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $164.02
$355.40+116.68%
since call Apr 30
peak +130.8%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
GOOGOOGLLONG2y ago
“At some point, a Google or something becomes interesting... At some point, Google will get $100 billion of revenue from AI. Probably their stock will explode.…”
Dwarkesh Podcast

Google's stock explodes once AI revenue hits $100B and it gets credited with the AI beta

GOOGOOGLLONG@ $169.91
$355.40+109.17%
since call Jun 4
peak +115.3%
Trade on Hyperliquid →