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AMD

AMD

31 tracked calls · 27 long · 4 short · last 90d: 20L/2S
first called by Invest Like the Best 10mo ago
IN TRACKED PORTFOLIOS
Ro KhannaBUYLeopold AschenbrennerBUY PUTSCathie WoodBUYDavid TepperSELLRay DalioSELL
AMDAMDLONG3d ago
“Lisa Su raised her agentic CPU forecast. Just three months ago, it was $120 billion for 2030. Three months later, they raised it to $220 billion... CEOs don't raise their tams by these multiples in a ”
TBPN

AMD CEO Lisa Su just hiked her agentic CPU market forecast to $220 billion in three months, proving the chipmaker is capturing insane underlying demand.

AMDAMDLONG@ $499.53
$483.81-3.15%
since call Jul 28
peak +3.2%
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AMDAMDLONG1w ago
“AMD and Anthropic are partnering to deploy up to two gigawatts of AMD instinct MI450s. Size gong. Size-going, $5 billion deal, and a whole bunch of collaboration across compute and the software stack.”
TBPN

AMD just secured a massive 5 billion dollar deal with Anthropic to deploy two gigawatts of chips and use AI models to break its software bottleneck.

AMDAMDLONG@ $527.20
$483.81-8.23%
since call Jul 23
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AMDAMDLONG1w ago
“The people receiving the money are up a lot in the mix of chaos... If you're receiving AI money, you are good... AMD, you're good.”
ThreadGuy

Hyperscalers like Google are torching over $200 billion on AI infrastructure, so buy the hardware makers directly catching that massive cash firehose.

AMDAMDLONG@ $532.77
$483.81-9.19%
since call Jul 23
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AMDAMDLONG3w ago
“Favorable news for AMD, with Helios rack (MI455X) shipping 2H26 and MI500 series in 2027.”
Semi Doped

Nvidia delaying its flagship AI server rack by 12 months into 2028 hands AMD a massive opening to steal market share with its own upcoming hardware.

AMDAMDLONG@ $551.17
$483.81-12.22%
since call Jul 6
peak +2.3%
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AMDAMDSHORT4w ago
“if their cloud has an AMD GPU or TPU offering, NVIDIA will retaliate”
Damnang2

NVIDIA coerces neoclouds away from AMD GPUs, blocking AMD's datacenter ramp at the operator level

AMDAMDSHORT@ $532.56
$483.81+9.15%
since call Jun 28
peak +18.2%
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AMDAMDLONG4w ago
“if their cloud has an AMD GPU or TPU offering, NVIDIA will retaliate.”
SemiAnalysis

NVIDIA's alleged suppression of AMD GPU adoption at neoclouds is anticompetitive; antitrust action could unlock AMD's data center market share

AMDAMDLONG@ $512.13
$483.81-5.53%
since call Jun 27
peak +8.3%
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AMDAMDLONG4w ago
“AMD buying MEXT, an Israeli software startup, this week is a clean example.”
Damnang2

AMD's acquisition of MEXT, which makes flash behave like DRAM, positions it to win AI inference by routing around the memory tax that is crippling competitors

AMDAMDLONG@ $529.79
$483.81-8.68%
since call Jun 27
peak +8.3%
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AMDAMDLONG4w ago
“Rn all the computer use AI models are janky & slow”
Zephyr

Low-latency AI inference chips are the critical bottleneck for computer-use agents; AMD captures the CPU demand surge as agentic AI scales

AMDAMDLONG@ $519.95
$483.81-6.95%
since call Jun 27
peak +8.3%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“server CPU revenue, which was supposed to be dead, is suddenly behaving like an early-cycle category again”
SemiAnalysis

AI-driven agentic workloads are tripling the server CPU TAM by 2030, making AMD the prime beneficiary of the CPU supercycle.

AMDAMDLONG@ $526.75
$483.81-8.15%
since call Jun 25
peak +8.3%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“AMD/ARM把CPU TAM的2030年预测翻倍到120B,一个月前,Nvidia再次把CPU TAM的2030年预测翻倍到200B”
Jukan

CPU TAM forecasts keep doubling as agentic AI shifts compute ratios; AMD is directly named as a CPU demand beneficiary reporting actual demand spikes

AMDAMDLONG@ $539.62
$483.81-10.34%
since call Jun 25
peak +6.0%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“AMD/ARM把CPU TAM的2030年预测翻倍到120B,一个月前,Nvidia再次把CPU TAM的2030年预测翻倍到200B”
Zephyr

CPU server TAM forecasts being rapidly doubled by AMD, Nvidia, and Bernstein as agentic AI shifts CPU:GPU ratios and creates a new structural demand wave

AMDAMDLONG@ $543.81
$483.81-11.03%
since call Jun 25
peak +6.0%
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AMDAMDSHORT1mo ago
“CUDA MOAT ALERT 🔥: In less than 70 days, GB200 NVL72 serving costs decreased by 2.5x through software improvements alone”
SemiAnalysis

CUDA software gains widen NVIDIA's moat, making AMD's ROCm-based AI inference stack increasingly uncompetitive on cost-per-token.

AMDAMDSHORT@ $551.55
$483.81+12.28%
since call Jun 22
peak +21.7%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“If MangoBoost can squeeze more tokens out of Helios than AMD … well then, they ought to be a great acquisition target.”
Semi Doped · Vikram Sekar

MangoBoost's turnkey DPU racks squeeze more tokens from AMD hardware, making it an acquisition target

AMDAMDLONG@ $533.44
$483.81-9.30%
since call Jun 22
peak +4.5%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“If Agentic AI meaningfully increases the importance of CPUs, $AMD, $INTC, and $ARM could see a re-rating.”
AU🧲

Agentic AI shifts compute demand back toward CPUs, triggering a re-rating for AMD as the market rotates from pure GPU focus

AMDAMDLONG@ $531.30
$483.81-8.94%
since call Jun 22
peak +4.6%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“if Agentic AI meaningfully increases the importance of CPUs, $AMD, $INTC, and $ARM could see a re-rating”
AU🧲

Agentic AI shifting compute from GPU-centric to CPU-balanced architectures could re-rate AMD as the market's best GPU-and-CPU play.

AMDAMDLONG@ $533.28
$483.81-9.28%
since call Jun 22
peak +4.8%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“Bernstein — Global Semis: The CPU Renaissance? Beneficiaries of a $223bn TAM…”
Jukan

Bernstein sees a CPU renaissance across a $223bn TAM; AMD is best-positioned to take share as the leading challenger CPU designer.

AMDAMDLONG@ $552.40
$483.81-12.42%
since call Jun 20
peak +3.6%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“there are others that are dying for something else, but they can't get it from another supplier”
Jukan

Neo-clouds desperate for a non-Nvidia GPU alternative create structural demand tailwind for AMD's AI chip lineup.

AMDAMDLONG@ $526.06
$483.81-8.03%
since call Jun 19
peak +5.7%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“Flash is becoming an increasingly important theme as DRAM’s price and lack of capacity fundamentally limits long-running agentic AI workloads.”
Semi Doped

Flash-as-DRAM is the next big theme as DRAM price and capacity cap agentic AI workloads

AMDAMDLONG@ $541.68
$483.81-10.68%
since call Jun 16
peak +2.6%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“speed has become the moat, and they've been able to move even faster now … to help fill”
TBPN

AMD's hardware plus a fast-improving ROCm stack is closing CUDA's moat and winning real AI workloads

AMDAMDLONG@ $487.44
$483.81-0.74%
since call Jun 11
peak +15.7%
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AMDAMDLONG1mo ago
“we also now have chips in the pipeline from AMD. Um Cerebrus is already online... And there's our own chip that we're working on with Broadcom... we sit on…”
All-In Podcast

OpenAI's CFO confirming AMD chips are live in the pipeline is a concrete demand signal for AMD's data-center accelerators from the single largest AI compute buyer. Among the publicly tradeable names she lists, AMD is the cleanest single long.

AMDAMDLONG@ $511.88
$483.81-5.48%
since call Jun 2
peak +9.7%
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AMDAMDLONG2mo ago
“AMD is definitely good enough right now”
TBPN

AMD is good enough now on rack scale-up; Lisa Su figures out MI450 and may ship a fast SRAM offload inference chip within 12 months

AMDAMDLONG@ $458.56
$483.81+5.51%
since call May 14
peak +25.0%
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AMDAMDLONG2mo ago
“recently, about a year ago, I invested into AMD, uh, and they just had their earnings, which were fantastic.”
Market Bubble

AMD is a strong AI chip play, bought a year ago and just printed fantastic earnings

AMDAMDLONG@ $401.36
$483.81+20.54%
since call May 7
peak +39.4%
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AMDAMDLONG3mo ago
“since January, it's just like supercharged our ability to execute … nonstop optimizing the customer's model”
TBPN

AMD inference software is closing the gap on NVIDIA, turning Instinct GPUs into a credible second source and lifting datacenter share.

AMDAMDLONG@ $332.73
$483.81+45.41%
since call Apr 27
peak +67.4%
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AMDAMDLONG3mo ago
“all the slop code you and I are generating that is now running on some Vercel instance... all of that requires CPU. And so CPUs are completely sold out, and…”
Invest Like the Best

CPUs completely sold out as RL training environments and AI-generated app sprawl drive demand.

AMDAMDLONG@ $305.77
$483.81+58.23%
since call Apr 23
peak +86.8%
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AMDAMDLONG3mo ago
“And so today the AI chip market is starting to look much less monopolistic. AI coding agents can make it easier to write software that works on non-CUDA chip…”
TBPN

CUDA's software moat is cracking as porting tools mature; the named challenger AMD wins share as labs diversify off NVIDIA.

AMDAMDLONG@ $269.27
$483.81+79.67%
since call Apr 16
peak +106.4%
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AMDAMDSHORT4mo ago
“the alternatives, the custom ASIC, AMD, others are going to cost 25 to 30 billion, and you're going to lose share.”
All-In Podcast

Even free chips lose if they can't match Nvidia's pace, a direct knock on AMD's cheaper alternative

AMDAMDSHORT@ $197.00
$483.81-145.60%
since call Mar 19
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AMDAMDLONG4mo ago
“CPUs are cool again. Intel and AMD reporting spikes in CPU demand due to AI, agentic AI shortages”
Jordi Visser

CPU makers benefit as agentic AI drives a CPU and edge inference demand spike, away from GPU-centric

AMDAMDLONG@ $188.73
$483.81+156.35%
since call Mar 15
peak +192.6%
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AMDAMDLONG5mo ago
“The X3D design means there is an L3 cache extension. AMD is world leading in shipping products with hybrid bonding integration.”
More Than Moore

AMD is ahead of everyone at the advanced chip-stacking that lets it pack extra fast memory onto its processors, a manufacturing edge rivals haven't matched.

AMDAMDLONG@ $202.44
$483.81+138.99%
since call Mar 1
peak +182.5%
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AMDAMDLONG6mo ago
“The last decade has seen one of the most aggressive technical rebuilds in the semiconductor industry, spanning core architecture, chiplet strategy, packaging…”
More Than Moore

AMD pulled off a decade-long rebuild and now competes at the top of CPUs, GPUs, and AI systems at once, a structural edge the author frames admiringly.

AMDAMDLONG@ $259.53
$483.81+86.42%
since call Jan 29
peak +122.4%
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AMDAMDLONG6mo ago
“What I can tell you is that Open AI is aggressively trying to diversify so that they have multiple paths of inference available. They have a huge deal with…”
All-In Podcast

OpenAI's multi-vendor inference push lands huge deals at AMD as it diversifies off Nvidia

AMDAMDLONG@ $236.17
$483.81+104.86%
since call Jan 17
peak +143.7%
Trade on Hyperliquid →
AMDAMDSHORT10mo ago
“I'm not really a big bull on the accelerator companies, I've never been. Companies make competing with NVIDIA... not a big bull on those kinds of companies.”
Invest Like the Best

AMD is mid: too many things to do and not enough of a leap to challenge NVIDIA's accelerator dominance.

AMDAMDSHORT@ $161.95
$483.81-198.75%
since call Sep 30
Trade on Hyperliquid →