We Study Billionaires — sniff.trade

We Study Billionaires

The flagship podcast of The Investor's Podcast Network.

10 episodes · 46 trades · 11 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@We Study Billionaires

5d

How to Find Hidden Investment Treasures w/ Christopher Begg (RWH070)

IDEAS · 4

GOOGOOGLLONGAlphabet's AI leadership under DeepMind and its graph-based increasing returns to scale remain fundamentally misunderstood.$355.28+12.28%›CSUCSULONGConstellation's deeply embedded vertical moats are insulated from AI disruption, allowing them to deploy AI to enhance their value.C$2,957+13.30%›TSLTSLALONGTesla has solved autonomy with a general intelligence platform, positioning them to dominate the global rollout of robotaxis.$309.12+0.46%›SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX is a 10x investment over the next decade as Starship slashes launch costs to $100 per kilogram and enables orbital data centers.$108.33-5.22%›

@We Study Billionaires

1mo

Meta, Adobe, & Booking Holdings | Stock Analysis & Valuation (TIP825)

IDEAS · 3

METMETALONGLong Meta: despite market fears over a $135 billion AI capex buildout, the company's massive ad revenue, strong distribution, and disciplined cost management point to a 46% upside without needing multiple expansion.$565.94-2.31%›BKNBKNGLONGLong Booking Holdings: the stock is trading at a discount around $167 due to fears of LLM disintermediation, but its durable network, capital-light model, and ongoing buybacks make it a strong value with a DCF target of $220.$194.11+13.82%›ADBADBELONGLong Adobe: trading near a 7-year low due to overblown AI fears, the company benefits from massive switching costs and human inertia, as creative professionals have no incentive to abandon the industry standard that costs a fraction of their overall expenses.$254.42+29.96%›

@We Study Billionaires

1mo

Surviving the AI Bubble: Timeless Lessons for Investors w/ Kyle Grieve (TIP823)

POSITIONS · 2

KGKyle Grieve

LMNLMN.VLONGLumine compounds intrinsic value 15% via 3-5 acquisitions a year, profitable and comfortably held$24.76+4.31%›TOITOI.VLONGTopicus is a profitable recurring-revenue AI-exposed compounder, comfortably held$103.95-0.10%›

IDEAS · 4

RGTRGTISHORTQuantum computing is ripe for a bubble pop, Rigetti up 12x on hype with falling revenue and EPS$15.04+28.90%›SP5SP500LONGS&P 500 is not itself a bubble but assuming 31x PE is the new normal base is dangerous$7,368.07+1.12%›XYZXYZ100LONGMag 7 deserves its premium with wider moats and faster growth, expensive but not a bubble$27,862.59-4.43%›NOWNOWLONGCapital-light software monetizing AI today compounds value while infrastructure spenders burn cash on speculation.$109.55+9.27%›

@We Study Billionaires

2mo

Why Simple Investing Beats Complexity w/ David Fagan (TIP817)

IDEAS · 1

VTVTLONGSave automatically and buy a global diversified index fund every month, ignore valuations, and you win on average$156.55-0.41%›

@We Study Billionaires

2mo

Lyn Alden on How Fiscal Dominance Reshapes Markets (TIP815)

POSITIONS · 1

LALyn Alden

XLEXLELONGLong energy and pipelines as energy-driven inflation persists in a fragmented monetary world$60.84+4.33%›

IDEAS · 6

WTIWTILONGOil settles into a $100-150 baseline because $60 is unsustainable for producers$88.69-11.16%›XLFXLFLONGBanks and financials are cheap and on the receiving side of fiscal deficits, a value dividend play$58.18+16.03%›IGVIGVLONGSoftware/SaaS stocks will get dramatically oversold, baby thrown out with bathwater, a buy on dips$93.04-0.25%›MITMITSYLONGJapanese trading companies borrow yen near zero to own scarce hard assets, still long$608.15-22.53%›

+2 more ideas →

@We Study Billionaires

2mo

Mohnish Pabrai: Berkshire, Big Mistakes & Letting Winners Run (TIP812)

POSITIONS · 2

MPMohnish Pabrai

AMRAMRLONGAlpha Metallurgical is an even better risk-reward than Consol, hated coal compounder$139.91-24.78%›HCCHCCLONGWarrior Met Coal rides the same favorable hated-met-coal risk-reward bet$78.14-9.02%›

IDEAS · 5

CNSCNSWFLONGConstellation Software is more resilient than Walmart, a rare 30%+ compounder to hold$2,148.70+17.48%›CNRCNRLONGConsol Energy is an Ipsco-style cheap cash-flow bet with forward visibility$81.18-8.13%›MSFMSFTLONGMicrosoft survives by reinventing itself repeatedly, a fit business that endures across decades.$473.77+12.18%›WMTWMTLONGWalmart is a fit business that wins by relentlessly cutting cost and delivering value, outlasting rivals.$112.52-15.80%›

+1 more ideas →

@We Study Billionaires

3mo

Is Berkshire Hathaway Undervalued Right Now? (Chris Bloomstran Explains) (TIP810)

IDEAS · 4

XYZXYZ100SHORTMag 7 margins set to contract as AI CapEx loads depreciation and debt onto cash-light balance sheets$27,862.59-4.19%›PGRPGRLONGGEICO repriced fat margins down as competition returns; Progressive keeps taking auto share without ceding margin.$211.17+5.55%›GOOGOOGLLONGIf no single closed-source lab wins AI, the diversified moat wins; Gemini's surge re-rates Alphabet up.$355.28+2.86%›AMZAMZNLONGAnthropic is winning enterprise AI on AWS; Amazon, its top backer and primary cloud, rides Claude's surge.$267.84+3.27%›

@We Study Billionaires

3mo

Current Market Opportunities | Mercado Libre, Amazon, & Constellation Software (TIP808)

POSITIONS · 5

DMDaniel Mahncke

MELMELILONGMercadoLibre's 45% revenue growth and Amazon-style reinvestment make today's margin dip a buying point, not a flaw.$1,868.20-1.68%›AMZAMZNLONGAmazon below $200 is cheap as AWS, robotics and ad growth set up earnings power beyond anything in 10 years.$267.84+9.74%›METMETALONGMeta's good results are masked by AI spend fears, but internal compute demand makes the payoff likely.$565.94-18.00%›TOITOI.VLONGTopicus is a younger less mature Constellation copy with European market tailwinds to compound faster$103.95+1.53%›LMNLMN.VLONGLumine compounds at 20%+ from a tiny base via low-competition carve-outs, shielded from law of large numbers$24.76+13.15%›

IDEAS · 3

CNSCNSWFLONGAI fears are overblown for Constellation; maintenance revenue and switching costs protect it$2,148.70+14.34%›HESHESAYLONGHermes after a 40% pullback is one of the best opportunities, targeting the recession-proof top 0.1%$180.75-10.80%›CRMCRMSHORTFortune 500 customers insource CRM with AI coders, eroding seats and retention, so the moat multiple compresses.$187.73-3.68%›

@We Study Billionaires

3mo

How to Build Resilient Wealth w/ Matthew McLennan (RWH067)

POSITIONS · 2

MMMatthew McLennan

BDXBDXLONGBecton Dickinson at 12-13x earnings prices almost no growth for a world syringe and catheter leader$164.43+4.90%›GOLGOLDLONGGold is defensive money that paces nominal wealth as government debt outpaces Treasury returns$4,039.05-17.03%›

@We Study Billionaires

3mo

Wise PLC: Competitive Moat & Valuation Framework w/ Kyle Grieve & Daniel Mahncke (TIP806)

POSITIONS · 1

KGKyle Grieve

WISWISELONGWise can grow cross-border volume to GBP450B and earn an attractive return as scale economics compound over 5 years$33.99-1.93%›

IDEAS · 3

KNSKNSLLONGKinsale runs at 30% ROE by underwriting tiny niche E&S policies rivals ignore, refusing growth for growth's sake$363.54+1.13%›RELRELYLONGRemitly's move into SMB cross-border payments lifts its TAM from ~$2T to ~$20T, setting up a re-rate.$22.59+29.13%›VVLONGCard incumbents absorb stablecoins as a settlement layer rather than being disrupted, so the fear-driven discount on Visa unwinds.$370.03+23.00%›