“the ultimate bull case for ServiceNow is that it's so complicated and intricate and integrated into so many companies that it would cost all of these public…”
Switching costs so high nobody can leave; recurring revenue locked in like a McDonald's ice cream trap
“Bitcoin looks fine, everything else looks fucking great, really is how I feel.”
ThreadGuy holds a lot of spot Bitcoin and is constructively biased, framing weakness as acceptable and a $60-70K range as a likely bottom rather than a top. He endorses Taiki's bottomed-near-60K thesis.
“Zcash, the token that I am currently basically full port my perps book. Uh, probably 75% of my perps book is long Zcash from $3.90. And this thing to me is…”
ThreadGuy is full-port long Zcash on his perps book and price-agnostic, betting privacy is the leading uncapped narrative as flows consolidate into a few coins. He sees a 10-year proof-of-work breakout with reflexive upside.
“Second one that feels unbelievable is hyper liquid. Okay, remember I had my little thesis... raging bull market in the few coins that actually matter. Flows…”
ThreadGuy is long HYPE as one of the 3-4 winners absorbing all flows, arguing it has already executed the tokenized-asset and pre-IPO perp narratives that justify a new all-time-high re-rate. SpaceX IPO speculation is a near-term tailwind.
“And then the third token, which looks fucking unbelievable, is VVV. One of the craziest charts ever.”
ThreadGuy is long VVV as the third leg of his consolidated-flows trio, viewing it as the rare AI-narrative coin that actually delivers private AI, freshly legitimized by a Robinhood listing.
“If you see on the chart, we have the Thread Guy enters with a little on Micron... I think this was actually remarkably strong today, all things considered.”
ThreadGuy is long Micron as a strong-relative memory/semis chart he is trading despite not fully understanding the business. It is a small feeler position riding the memory cycle into Nvidia earnings.
“Dell is being crimed so hard right now. It's unbelievable... it has an unbelievable chart.”
ThreadGuy sees Dell as the clearest beneficiary of Trump-administration favoritism, with the Dells' $6.25B donation followed by a cascade of AI partnership announcements driving a 2x. He believes the pattern keeps running higher.
“MP Materials he owns 10% of... The Pentagon invested $400 million in newly created preferred stock and established a 10-year offtake and price floor agreement.”
Pentagon owns 10% and guarantees a $110/kg price floor on 78% of MP's revenue
“Probably think Hyperliquid and Lido are still under-owned. They both have strong business fundamentals while hitting the current regulatory zeitgeist. Target…”
Under-owned with strong fundamentals on the cusp of regulatory acceptance; $2 target relayed and endorsed
“Koreans are surrendering life insurance policies to buy SK Hynix... When new money into a rally comes not from income but from liquidating safety nets, this…”
ThreadGuy reads the KOSPI/SK Hynix mania as classic late-cycle blow-off, with retirees levering into a single parabolic name on margin and surrendered insurance. He thinks this behavior does not get rewarded.
“motion on pre-IPO perps, which really happened with Cerebris and is potentially going to happen again with SpaceX. Those two narratives are significantly…”
ThreadGuy treats the upcoming SpaceX IPO as a major positive catalyst feeding the Hyperliquid pre-IPO perp narrative and broadly bullish on SpaceX as a winner. The pre-IPO perp is the cleanest direct expression.