TBPN — sniff.trade

TBPN

Technology Brothers Podcast Network — a live tech and markets news show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, with frequent investor and founder…

73 episodes · 404 trades · 87 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@TBPN

2d

Robot Bans, Zuck Op-Ed, Open Letter, eBay Settles

IDEAS · 9

EBAEBAYSHORTeBay is a structural loser because its core platform has stagnated without meaningful product innovation for two decades.$114.88+2.23%›NVDNVDASHORTNvidia faces a looming monopsony trap as its top two AI lab customers actively develop custom silicon to break their reliance.$198.14-5.09%›GOOGOOGLSHORTAlphabet faces indefinite free cash flow compression as AI capital expenditures offer no visible off-ramp.$355.20-7.42%›CIBCIBRLONGCybersecurity costs will structurally increase as companies are forced to harden their defenses against AI-driven threats.$90.57+0.74%›

+5 more ideas →

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3d

Tae Kim Sounds Off 🗣️🗣️🗣️, Big Companies Are Hiring Again, HBO Goes Short Form

IDEAS · 8

NVDNVDALONGNVIDIA will add massive revenue over the next two years by using its balance sheet to lock up scarce supply chain components.$190.01-3.31%›AMDAMDLONGAMD is seeing insane demand as evidenced by CEO Lisa Su nearly doubling the agentic CPU TAM forecast to $220 billion in just three months.$485.06-2.90%›SMHSMHLONGHBM memory is in severe shortage with customers demanding five to six times more than current capacity, driving massive growth for the semiconductor sector.$536.36-0.63%›METMETALONGMeta is aggressively raising CapEx to invest heavily in AI, proving the media FUD about a pullback completely false.$585.61-1.39%›

+4 more ideas →

@TBPN

4d

Letter Enthusiasts, $250B, Mega-Startup School, SSI x Nvidia, ETN Raises $1.6M

IDEAS · 2

NVDNVDASHORTNvidia's extreme AI compute margins will collapse as competition and commoditization force aggressive price cuts.$196.51+0.25%›DISDISSHORTIndependent sports creators are stealing highly engaged audiences from ESPN, threatening Disney's linear TV cash cow.$96.08+1.11%›

@TBPN

1w

AMD CEO Lisa Su Live on TBPN

IDEAS · 5

AMDAMDLONGAMD secures a massive $5 billion deal with Anthropic to deploy up to two gigawatts of MI450 accelerators.$485.06-7.99%›TSLTSLALONGTesla's autonomous driving lead is becoming insurmountable as consumers increasingly buy cars specifically for driverless functionality.$309.34-3.53%›GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle's search business is successfully transitioning to AI without losing monetization, driving continued revenue growth.$336.71+5.99%›MBLMBLYLONGLegacy automakers abandoning in-house AV development will drive massive demand for Mobileye's off-the-shelf autonomous systems.$7.99+8.45%›

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@TBPN

1w

HackingFace, Science Funding, Travis Kalanick Joins, New Apple Gear

IDEAS · 7

AMZAMZNLONGAWS growth is re-accelerating from its 15-20% nadir as new AI models and applications drive increased token consumption.$267.79+15.56%›MSFMSFTLONGAzure is crushing it with re-accelerating growth rates driven by the surge in new AI models and applications.$390.54+2.58%›GOOGOOGLLONGGCP is seeing re-accelerating growth as increased AI adoption and token consumption drive cloud demand.$336.71+5.91%›TSLTSLALONGTesla is running away with the EV market by providing the ultimate high-utility appliance vehicle with incredible full self-driving.$309.34-2.72%›

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@TBPN

1w

China China China, Substack & Pangram Fight Slop, Is It Bleak to Lock In, Search Fund Fairy Tale

IDEAS · 4

UUPUUPLONGThe US Dollar will see increased global demand as the incoming administration leverages stablecoins to actively re-dollarize the world.$27.65-3.87%›IMAIMAXSHORTIMAX faces a structural hardware crisis as it can no longer manufacture new 70mm projectors due to lost blueprints and dead supply chains.$48.48-24.24%›RVMRVMDLONGRevolution Medicines has secured a permanent medical breakthrough with stunning Phase 3 results for its pancreatic cancer treatment.$191.26+6.77%›SNASNAPSHORTGen Z's shift to dumb phones destroys the core user base and mobile ad revenue that Snap relies on.$4.69-3.79%›

@TBPN

1w

Kimi, Odyssey, Tyler Cowen Joins, 5 Cups of Coffee, Aston Martin x COD

IDEAS · 8

NVDNVDALONGKimi K3's massive 2.8 trillion parameter size drives demand for NVIDIA's NVL72 systems for large model inference.$208.76+0.71%›IROIRONLONGNeoClouds are positioned to rapidly profit from the massive compute constraints driven by new open-source models.$77.98+1.48%›MSFMSFTLONGMassive non-product net income allows the company to fund the hundreds of billions in CapEx required to win the AI race.$381.02-4.21%›BYDBYDDYLONGChinese consumers are increasingly choosing local options driven by national pride and great product quality.$11.70+2.93%›

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@TBPN

2w

Stripe x PayPal, Codex Micro, Saagar Enjeti Joins

IDEAS · 4

PYPPYPLLONGPayPal is a distressed value opportunity that could double in worth if an acquirer like Stripe steps in to fix its operational bloat.$56.15+3.32%›PYPPYPLSHORTPayPal's sprawling tech debt and bloat eliminate its M&A appeal and require costly restructuring.$56.15-3.32%›VRTVRTSHORTVRT derives >80% of its revenue from data center equipment; a populist-driven halt in new builds directly kills its growth pipeline.$238.38+20.35%›HUBHUBSSHORTSMBs bypassing traditional SaaS for custom AI solutions directly threatens HubSpot's core customer base and seat-based revenue model.$238.71-8.43%›

@TBPN

2w

IBM Nukes, Demis Govt Plan, Clanker Whales, Paramount WBD Deep Dive

IDEAS · 6

IBMIBMSHORTIBM is losing its share of enterprise technology budgets as customers shift capital spending away from mainframes and toward physical AI infrastructure.$220.61-0.33%›CIFCIFRLONGCipher Mining is unlocking massive real estate value by pivoting its 4.2 gigawatt Bitcoin mining power portfolio into multi-decade AI data center leases for hyperscalers.$21.91+8.14%›AMCAMCSHORTAMC is heavily indebted and directly victimized by the permanent shift of consumer attention away from traditional theatrical windows.$2.87-49.78%›HPPHPPSHORTA flood of fire-sale studio real estate from the PARA-WBD merger will crush HPP's portfolio value and pricing power.$13.83+9.46%›

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2w

Apple vs OpenAI, Mustard Controversy, Mark Gurman, Alexis Ohanian, & Morgan Housel Join

IDEAS · 2

HPPHPPSHORTParamount moving studio operations out of California directly threatens HPP's LA-concentrated sound stage rental income.$13.83+11.07%›TKOTKOLONGTKO's live sports events offer the authentic, unreplicable human experiences that command a premium in an AI-saturated world.$182.71+1.09%›

@TBPN

3w

5.6 Stories, Meta Bull Case, Phia Affiliate Drama, Movies and Mansions

IDEAS · 3

SKHSKHYLONGSK Hynix is a critical AI bottleneck winner, with its US ADR listing unlocking massive new capital access for its high-bandwidth memory dominance.$166.75-3.02%›METMETALONGMeta is the only hyperscaler on track to possess world-class data, talent, and compute, giving it the best chance to catch OpenAI.$585.61-12.49%›GOOGOOGLSHORTGoogle's Gemini falls behind as elite AI talent migrates to rivals, crippling its frontier model development.$317.93+10.99%›

@TBPN

3w

5.6 Sol + Superapp Release, AI 2040, Tibothy Joins, New Robot Hand Alert, Meta Releases Muse 1.1

IDEAS · 8

METMETALONGMeta's proprietary image model trained on its unique conversion data removes the creative bottleneck for advertisers, unlocking massive ad spend.$585.61-7.26%›TPRTPRLONGTapestry's Coach brand is on a generational run as American luxury captures the rotation away from stodgy European brands.$150.16+6.74%›RLRLLONGRalph Lauren is crushing it as American luxury brands capture a generational rotation away from legacy European fashion houses.$377.80-0.90%›LVMLVMUYSHORTLVMH is structurally overexposed to the squeezed middle class with 80% of revenue coming from people making under $102,000.$107.88+4.37%›

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@TBPN

3w

Ben Thompson Joins, 5.6 Sol Reactions, Coatue Bets Big on Blue Origin at $130B

IDEAS · 5

GETGETYSHORTGetty Images' abandoned merger leaves it exposed to being absolutely decimated by unlimited free AI image generation.$0.37+53.92%›SSTSSTKSHORTShutterstock's core licensing model is structurally obsolete as AI image generation provides a free, unlimited alternative to its photo library.$5.45+37.72%›LCILCIDSHORTLucid faces existential survival risks as heavy vehicle depreciation and excess inventory force the company to offer interest-free loan incentives.$7.47-28.23%›NVDNVDALONGAI GPUs are completely sold out for the foreseeable future, locking in massive revenue visibility.$208.76+2.27%›

+1 more ideas →

@TBPN

3w

Alex Hormozi in the Ultradome, China Export Controls, SK Hynix, Big Bank Comeback

IDEAS · 4

VVSHORTVisa faces a structural attack on its U.S. debit leverage as major banks vertically rebundle payments by acquiring their own debit networks.$370.09-3.83%›MAMASHORTMastercard faces a structural attack on its U.S. debit leverage as major banks vertically rebundle payments by acquiring their own networks.$563.45-5.64%›GEVGEVLONGGEV's gas turbine business will surge as cheap US natural gas drives demand for rapid-deploy localized power generation.$973.82-9.84%›METMETALONGMeta's Muse Image model will drive massive user engagement and validate its heavy GPU investments.$585.61-4.87%›

@TBPN

3w

XBOX RIF, "Manual" Ferrari, SPV Hustle Debate, EV Truck Fraud

IDEAS · 4

SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX defies bearish profitability concerns to hold a strong $2 trillion valuation driven by a low float.$108.28-33.82%›SONSONYLONGSony's PlayStation directly absorbs the console market share and gaming dominance lost by Xbox's structural decline.$23.53+11.62%›RACRACELONGFerrari's pure ICE 296 Challenge will be a commercial hit, driving revenue and reinforcing its pricing power with purists.$387.68-0.44%›DLRDLRLONGDLR's existing power-provisioned data centers command massive premiums as AI drives severe supply constraints.$173.11-0.34%›

@TBPN

4w

Fable Unbanned, Lab Nationalization, End of Paper-Based Retirement, SpaceX Phone

IDEAS · 5

AAPAAPLSHORTApple's App Store moat is structurally eroding as AI chat interfaces replace the need for single-purpose apps.$320.96-4.00%›SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX is positioned to disrupt mobile hardware with a vertically integrated Starlink phone that connects anyone on the planet.$108.28-33.14%›TSMTSMSHORTTSMC's fabrication monopoly faces structural decline as massive buyers like Elon Musk build alternative foundries to bypass the bottleneck.$396.69+7.25%›ASMASMLSHORTASML's lithography dominance will be disrupted as the extreme concentration of the semiconductor supply chain incentivizes new competitors to displace them.$1,621+7.67%›

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@TBPN

4w

MetaCloud, Bending Spoons IPO with Founder Luca Ferrari, Fabel Freed, TML Cooking

IDEAS · 4

MCRMCRILONGMonarch Casino is a highly profitable alternative to consumer gambling, printing 36% EBITDA margins while returning capital through buybacks and dividends.$124.98-1.85%›LIMLIMELONGLime is the profitable last man standing in micromobility, generating 50% cash margins and leveraging its new public scale to dominate a winner-take-most market.$29.59+18.23%›SMHSMHLONGMemory chips are facing severe shortages and price inflation as AI demand consumes high-end supply and squeezes the middle and low tiers.$536.36-9.98%›BENBENDINGLONGBending Spoons is doubling its business annually by leveraging a technologically advanced AI platform and an aggressive, highly integrated acquisition strategy.$35.61+0.26%›

@TBPN

4w

Etched Founder Joins, AI Creates Jobs, It's OVER for Peptides, Tristan Thompson in the Ultradome

IDEAS · 8

RKLRKLBLONGRocket Lab's $8 billion acquisition of Iridium creates a fully integrated space superpower that can directly compete with SpaceX.$63.75-36.54%›RIVRIVNLONGRivian's deeply underrated self-driving technology makes its vehicles a standout.$15.30-12.31%›TSMTSMLONGTSMC is the indispensable AI fab because of its unique technical ability to co-design complex low-voltage transistors.$434.16-9.09%›SMHSMHLONGThe semiconductor supply chain requires massive physical buildout as AI inference demands exponentially more tokens and factories.$536.36-18.16%›

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@TBPN

4w

Open Source vs. Closed Source, Memory Chips Eat AI Profits, Comcast Restructures | Diet TBPN

IDEAS · 2

GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle Cloud is accelerating as surging AI demand maxes out its compute capacity.$357.18+1.00%›MUMULONGMicron is capturing the AI profit pool as limited high-bandwidth memory capacity drives massive DRAM and NAND price hikes.$810.06-28.34%›

@TBPN

4w

Open-Source AI Battle, Google Throttles Meta, Micron Margins Moon, Rocket Lab buys Iridium

IDEAS · 2

GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle Cloud acceleration is surging as overwhelming AI demand for Gemini forces the company to throttle massive customers like Meta.$357.18-0.05%›MUMULONGMicron is positioned to double as severe high-bandwidth memory constraints allow it to jack up DRAM prices by over 60%.$810.06-30.91%›

@TBPN

4w

Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN

IDEAS · 4

METMETALONGMeta gets near zero credit for owning 80% of smart glasses, but the upside is the high-margin ads and Threads engine, not hardware$566.04+3.87%›METMETASHORTMeta sentiment is near all-time lows in capital markets, with the market not pricing in any AI come-from-behind$566.04-3.87%›MUMULONGOpenAI cornering 40% of DRAM wafer supply structurally tightens memory pricing, lifting the makers' margins.$810.06-29.90%›CIBCIBRLONGOpen-source AI hands advanced cyber attack power to everyone, forcing enterprise and government defense spend to accelerate.$90.57+6.95%›

@TBPN

1mo

Cannes Recap, Meta Gambling Goggles, AI Restrictions, Apple Price Hikes

IDEAS · 3

SNASNAPLONGSnap's wearables strategy can capture significant market share from a slow-moving Apple, making its $7.18B market cap highly attractive.$4.47+0.68%›MUMULONGMicron is capturing a massive value reallocation from hardware makers as expensive memory prices force a rotation into the supplier.$810.06-29.56%›AAPAAPLSHORTApple is suffering a massive value rotation out of its stock as expensive memory shortages force price hikes across its hardware lineup.$320.96-10.92%›

@TBPN

1mo

Midjourney Medical, AI Talent Wars 2.0, G7 Recap, Jake Paul Joins

IDEAS · 8

LLYLLYLONGGLP-1 wave intensifies as Lilly's third-gen retatrutide launches into a culture obsessed with health$1,131.33+4.29%›ARMARMLONGArm now sells its own AGI CPU at 2x performance per watt, with agentic AI driving demand past supply$242.35-43.99%›TTWTTWOLONGTake-Two's moat is misunderstood; durable creative business undervalued vs AI-hype layoff narratives, GTA 6 lands Nov 19$247.66+1.73%›TSMTSMLONGAI compute demand scales with no ceiling for years; the foundry every AI chip flows through compounds.$396.69-12.14%›

+4 more ideas →

@TBPN

1mo

Snap SPECS, Taste Labs Timeline Turmoil, AI Execs at G7 | Diet TBPN

IDEAS · 2

SNASNAPSHORTSnap's $3.5B Spectacles bet flops, no killer use case, launch won't justify more investment$4.69+2.64%›HIMHIMXLONGCheap AR glasses go mass market; the microdisplay supplier inside every pair wins on volume as prices fall.$12.43-27.96%›

@TBPN

1mo

Snap Specs, Taste, Midjourney Hardware, Lunchtime for AI Leaders

IDEAS · 4

AAPAAPLLONGApple's 2025-2027 iPhone roadmap is its strongest ever; foldable, Air 2, 20th anniversary redesign drive a huge cycle$303.48+0.39%›SPCSPCXSHORTSpaceX's valuation rests on sentiment and the next buyer, not fundamentals; the premium deflates as flows slow.$108.28+45.11%›AMZAMZNLONGAWS AI adoption goes PoC-to-production via Bedrock and AgentCore, compounding capex into AWS revenue and AMZN earnings.$267.79+11.47%›SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX's sky-high stock is its own M&A currency; an all-stock acquisition spree compounds the conglomerate's value.$108.28-43.75%›

@TBPN

1mo

SpaceX Takes Off, Cursor's Wild Rise, Snap Bets on AR Glasses | Diet TBPN

IDEAS · 2

SPCSPCXLONGHosts read the 150x multiple as bullish: imagine Amazon repriced at SpaceX's sales multiple$108.28-45.85%›METMETASHORTBanning social media for over-65s would devastate Meta given boomer purchasing power—›

@TBPN

1mo

YC Demo Day Lightning Round, New Snap AR Glasses, SpaceX Rips, Threads hits 500M Users

IDEAS · 8

AMZAMZNLONGMarket pays 150x sales for SpaceX's infrastructure dream while Amazon's real cloud-logistics moat sits near 3x.$267.79+9.65%›METMETALONGThreads turns from a growth story into a high-margin ad engine, adding incremental revenue to Meta's core.$566.04-7.77%›SNASNAPSHORTSnap's $2,195 AR glasses overpriced for the market; lacks Apple's wealthy buyer base or Meta's loss-leader scale$4.69+12.21%›COICOINLONGCoinbase a real-network-effect marketplace insulated from AI/vibe-coded disruption that's gutting SaaS$144.55-14.81%›

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@TBPN

1mo

Anthropic Drama, Meta Now Tokenminning, Fox's $22B Roku Deal | Diet TBPN

IDEAS · 4

FOXFOXALONGFox-Roku merger creates dominant ad-supported streaming platform with 40% of CTV watch time; ad dollars shift their way$58.89+7.85%›METMETALONGMeta is the greatest business in history, untouched and actually accelerated by AI, deserving a re-rating$566.04-5.93%›ASMASMLLONGSovereign AI demand reprices Europe's national champion Mistral higher, and ASML's 11% stake rides it up.$1,620.59-15.72%›NVDNVDALONGChina denied Blackwell stalls its open-source AI; the compute gap widens and Nvidia's moat hardens.$198.14-6.09%›

@TBPN

1mo

Gavin Baker: SpaceX Might Be the Greatest Company of All Time

IDEAS · 5

SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX is the rare iconic compounder, monetizing AI gigawatts at 2-3x peers with near-term revenue catalysts$108.28-42.77%›METMETALONGMeta trades at a discount on installed compute because the market doubts it can monetize its GPUs$566.04-2.97%›NETNETLONGContent delivery networks command big premiums delivering low-latency tokens at the edge as AI inference grows$278.31+16.03%›NVDNVDALONGChina's domestic AI chips stay generations behind, so Nvidia's hardware-plus-CUDA lead and pricing power hold.$198.14-6.48%›

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@TBPN

1mo

America 250 Recap with Bo Nickal, Gavin Baker Joins, Anthropic in Washington, Le Chaton Fat

IDEAS · 6

SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX has near-term tangible drivers: rapid gigawatt compute ramp at $50B/GW and Cursor adoption$108.28-42.28%›AKAAKAMLONGCDNs command pricing premiums delivering low-latency tokens; Akamai's $1.8B Anthropic deal proves it.$114.15-16.76%›ROKROKULONGRoku-Fox combine pairs 40%+ connected-TV watch time and younger demo; ad-driven approach pays off.$144.47+2.83%›APPAPPLONGAppLovin's e-com ad business compounds 70% YoY from under 0.01% share, massive runway untapped.$403.22-20.77%›

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@TBPN

1mo

SpaceX IPO Gigastream

IDEAS · 2

SPCSPCXSHORTSpaceX debuts at ~$2.2 trillion — instantly top-five-company size at roughly 95x revenue, a price only Elon commands; that premium fades as the math catches up.$108.28+34.04%›METMETALONGMeta makes $200 billion a year, growing 30%, and trades at $1.4 trillion while SpaceX debuts at $2.3 trillion; the cheap one catches up.$566.04-0.19%›

@TBPN

1mo

Bezos AI Play, Future of Airports, Trucking is Back, CAA Fund

IDEAS · 6

AMDAMDLONGAMD's hardware plus a fast-improving ROCm stack is closing CUDA's moat and winning real AI workloads$485.06-0.49%›NVDNVDASHORTNvidia's CUDA moat is eroding as AMD closes the gap and customers cut Nvidia lock-in$198.14+4.32%›ITAITALONGA $100B Bezos fund hunting legacy aerospace and defense makers puts a takeover and reshoring bid under the whole basket.$242.40+2.29%›KNXKNXLONGFour-year freight recession ends as capacity exits and rates climb at a record pace, lifting carrier earnings.$68.91-16.85%›

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@TBPN

1mo

Facebook gets a movie, Anthropic gets a Fable, Vinod Khosla, Matthew Prince, Bret Taylor

IDEAS · 10

METMETALONGThe Social Reckoning movie won't dent Meta; ad business is unboycottable and regulation won't single it out$566.04-1.01%›ANTANTHROPICLONGAnthropic's Fable-5 guardrails are good business: cut off rivals, sell biohackers up to enterprise plans—IDEA›SPCSPCXLONGSpaceX IPO is 4x oversubscribed but tiny float means retail flips day one and S&P weight starts near 0.1%$108.28-32.34%›NETNETLONGAgents need a different compute architecture; Cloudflare's isolates beat containers and capture AI labs' workloads$278.31+23.41%›

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@TBPN

1mo

WWDC, Jobs Up Stocks Down, VC Horror Stories, Cars and Planes

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

PLPLLONGPlanet is compounding 42% growth with $700M cash and raising more dry powder while space is hot$20.26-36.15%›

IDEAS · 6

LLYLLYSHORTLilly's $1T value rests on tirzepatide, but the patent cliff caps it far short of a $100T dream$1,131.33+2.44%›RVMRVMDLONGRevolution Medicines drugged the undruggable RAS, doubling pancreatic cancer survival vs chemo$191.26+31.47%›TNGTNGXLONGTango's drug stacks on the new pancreatic standard and pushes survival even further$27.14-12.44%›XYZXYZ100SHORTSticky inflation and strong jobs tilt the Fed toward hikes, compressing long-duration tech valuations.$27,890.29+6.19%›

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@TBPN

1mo

🔴 Alex Karp LIVE from AIPCon 10

IDEAS · 5

PLTPLTRLONGPalantir owns the taste-plus-ontology layer rivals can't copy; LLM hype commodifies, Palantir captures the value.$125.62-9.45%›PYPPYPLSHORTPayPal carries $32B revenue but negative momentum while a faster rival eclipses its valuation; trajectory points down.$56.15-28.01%›NVDNVDALONGEdge AI compute is coming to homes via DGX desktops and home data centers, expanding Nvidia's market$198.14-10.97%›BILBILLSHORTRamp is accelerating at 20x scale and now invading BILL's accounting-firm moat with Stack, capping BILL's growth.$45.50-26.89%›

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@TBPN

1mo

Microsoft Builds! SUNO on Fire, AI Roll Up Roll Ups, Mysterious Data Centers

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

PANPANWLONGAI cannot replace enforcement-point security; demand for Palo Alto's products rises as AI enables, not displaces$328.19+16.12%›

IDEAS · 10

MSTMSTRSHORTMicroStrategy's STRC drop and equity situation are driving Bitcoin down; hard to structurally reverse$91.56+27.19%›HPEHPELONGAI-assisted retail can now parse complex B2B stories; boring names like HPE re-rate on data center growth$48.05-12.59%›MUMULONGAI pulls retail into complex memory/semi names; Micron-style stories keep running on data center growth$810.06-22.00%›COICOINSHORTCoinbase shows substantial sequential revenue deceleration as money rotates from crypto into B2B equity stories$144.55+11.98%›

+6 more ideas →

@TBPN

1mo

Google Taps Berkshire, History of Confidential IPO Filings, AI Executive Order, Putin's Longevity

IDEAS · 6

QCOQCOMLONGQualcomm offers AI optionality plus Buffett-grade durability without heroic valuation assumptions vs other semis$150.55-36.92%›TMHTMHCLONGBerkshire buys Taylor Morrison at 24% premium; bet US housing slump passes and pent-up demand returns$72.67+0.78%›GOOGOOGLLONGCapital is the AI moat, and the capital-richest hyperscaler with its own TPUs widens its lead as it outspends rivals.$355.20-4.57%›ANTANTHROPICSHORTGoogle's $80B equity raise drains finite AI capital before the IPO wave, pressuring Anthropic's private valuation.—IDEA›

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@TBPN

2mo

YouTube Overtakes Hollywood, Sanders on AI, Anthropic IPO, SaaSpocalypse Over?

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

CRMCRMLONGBenioff freezing engineer/service headcount on AI while hiring 20% more sales reps signals record demand, not SaaS decline.$187.78-12.04%›

IDEAS · 7

ASTASTSLONGCarriers won't accept a Starlink monopoly, so they keep funding AST SpaceMobile as the alternative.$59.88-43.27%›RKLRKLBLONGSatellite operators want launch competition, so they back Rocket Lab and Blue Origin, which is bullish for launch names.$63.75-49.19%›IGVIGVLONGSaaSpocalypse reverses as AI monetization proves real; the beaten-down software group re-rates upward.$92.94-13.41%›SPCSPCXLONGThin SpaceX float plus mechanical Nasdaq-100 and Russell index buying funnels forced demand into a scarce share count, lifting the implied price.$108.28-44.64%›

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@TBPN

2mo

John Gruber, Kyle Kuzma, Brad Gerstner

POSITIONS · 2

TBTBPN

SNOSNOWLONGSnowflake is in the AI token flow; more tokens means more database queries and a new AI multiple$293.95+16.53%›METMETALONGMeta must monetize $100B+ CapEx via AWS-style compute and enterprise; risky but may surprise.$566.04-11.55%›

IDEAS · 8

CRMCRMSHORTSalesforce front-facing apps compete with the models, so it struggles to get in the token flow$187.78+2.37%›AAPAAPLLONGApple's folding phone arrives at the perfect technological moment and drives mass adoption of folding phones$303.48-0.89%›NVDNVDALONGNvidia at ~13x earnings for 70% growth is the cheapest in a decade with sustained growth and buybacks$198.14-6.85%›MUMULONGMicron still at single-digit multiple after a huge run; pullbacks are run-of-the-mill consolidation, not a top$810.06-15.81%›

+4 more ideas →

@TBPN

2mo

Ferrari EV, Enhanced Games, Pope's Encyclical, Alcohol & Podcasting

IDEAS · 5

ENHENHASHORTEnhanced Games went public before hosting a single event; debut underwhelmed and stock cratered 41%$2.82+8.57%›RACRACESHORTLuce priced 10x above rivals flops on demand, exposing Ferrari's EV gamble and pressuring a premium multiple.$387.68-15.71%›RACRACELONGFerrari stays scarce ultra-luxury through the EV shift; preserved exclusivity protects its premium multiple.$387.68+15.53%›SYMSYMLONGEnterprise capex shifts from hardcoded conveyors to adaptive multi-robot fulfillment; the orchestration leader compounds.$42.71-20.40%›

+1 more ideas →

@TBPN

2mo

Starship Launch, World's Fair Retrospective, Matt Grimm Does the Murph, Big China Moves

IDEAS · 2

MUMULONGAI memory shortage with sold-out HBM and locked 2026 pricing keeps Micron's earnings and stock re-rating higher.$810.06+3.22%›TSLTSLASHORTSpaceX IPO pricing above Tesla siphons Musk-bull capital and strips Tesla's Elon-premium, pulling TSLA down.$309.34+29.24%›

@TBPN

2mo

Spotify CEO Joins, Alex Tabarrok Joins, Lots of news from SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI, Nvidia and Meta

IDEAS · 4

GSGSLONGGoldman Sachs secures a massive win by beating Morgan Stanley for the lead left underwriter position on the historic SpaceX IPO.$1,004+2.52%›NVDNVDALONGNvidia's skyrocketing results and massive $80 billion buyback authorization make a convincing bull case as AI agents drive demand.$208.76-3.05%›MSFMSFTLONGMicrosoft's gaming division is poised for a major resurgence following the game-changing rehire of strategist Matthew Ball.$381.02-8.97%›FTDFTDRSHORTRising contractor labor costs squeeze margins for home warranties as repairing appliances becomes less economically viable.$71.59-18.89%›

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2mo

Google I/O Reactions, Large IPOs Incoming, Vox Sold, Tokenmaxxing Stats

IDEAS · 4

NVDNVDALONGNVIDIA trades at 19x forward below S&P while growing 80%; buybacks re-rate the multiple higher$198.14-12.02%›METMETALONGMeta's core ad business is more durable than Google Search and keeps compounding; compute capacity is the floor$566.04-6.98%›GOOGOOGLLONGFashion-led stealth AI glasses, the Google/Gentle Monster product, become the winning eyewear form factor.$355.20-9.72%›CRCCRCLLONGStablecoins win cross-border, not US domestic, and Circle's USDC is the regulated rail capturing that flow.$63.84-43.21%›

@TBPN

2mo

Google I/O 2026, Birth Rate Debates, SpaceX IPO, Karpathy Joins Anthropic

IDEAS · 5

GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle is positioned as a full-stack AI winner with GCP outgrowing peers and core search queries hitting all-time highs.$357.18-8.16%›WLYWLYSHORTWLY's professional and non-fiction book sales will continue to decline as consumers shift to podcasts.$53.00-25.99%›CENCENXSHORTCENX's attempt to build a new US aluminum smelter will face insurmountable energy constraints and pushback.$45.24+23.97%›RMDRMDSHORTUbiquitous, cheap GLP-1s will drastically reduce obesity rates, shrinking the TAM for ResMed's sleep apnea CPAP machines.$208.51+0.82%›

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2mo

Leopold's 13F, Mike Isaac Joins, Data Center Fixes, Shein Buys Everlane, Falling Birth Rates

IDEAS · 4

TETELONGAI power crunch pulls forward US solar demand; smart money into T1 Energy signals a shorter timeline.$4.16-37.53%›CRWCRWVSHORTSpreading data center moratoriums delay new-build capacity, squeezing buildout-dependent AI cloud pricing-takers.$71.13+28.79%›DRADRAMLONGAI memory is sold out into 2028; the makers that own the scarce HBM capture the scarcity rent and re-rate.$50.26+1.11%›NOWNOWSHORTAI coding and agents collapse software seat counts; per-seat SaaS like ServiceNow re-rates as the seat-to-spend link snaps.$109.62-7.07%›

@TBPN

2mo

Debater Center, Figma's Not Dead, 67 Year Old Founder, AI Monet Paintings

IDEAS · 5

TSLTSLALONGFSD lead is structural: every other automaker is 10 years behind Tesla on self-driving and onboard compute.$309.34-27.43%›METMETALONGMeta bullish; every pixel of its apps is monetizable and new Instants feature rebuilds casual sharing$566.04-6.12%›FIGFIGLONGFigma's accelerating 46% growth and 139% NDR are mispriced by terminal-multiple pessimism that reverses up.$24.14+3.47%›MUMULONGMicron's earnings are exploding on sold-out HBM while the stock lags; the valuation gap closes upward.$810.06+7.37%›

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2mo

Cerebras IPO, Warshtime, VC Infighting, H100s in China, Robot Monkey Business

IDEAS · 9

CBRCBRSLONGFaster inference commands outsized pricing; Cerebras owns 1% of a huge market for fast inference at small model sizes$201.85-36.13%›TSMTSMLONGTSMC is the supply kingmaker; cleanroom lead times keep supply lagging demand, sustaining premium wafer pricing for years$396.69-3.25%›AMDAMDLONGAMD is good enough now on rack scale-up; Lisa Su figures out MI450 and may ship a fast SRAM offload inference chip within 12 months$485.06+5.78%›NVDNVDALONGIn a compute shortage demand overflows to 2nd/3rd best chips, but Nvidia's general-purpose GPU still wins most cases$198.14-14.06%›

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2mo

Trump-Xi Summit, Inflation Bad, Space Data Centers, Malaysian Fugitive

IDEAS · 5

AFRAFRMLONGAffirm is accelerating to $100B in GMV at a 25% compound rate while raising its profitability floor and leveraging AI coding efficiency.$70.37+2.94%›DPZDPZSHORTDomino's faces a structural demand shock as AI coding efficiency shrinks standard engineering groups from two-pizza to one-pizza teams.$353.90-16.96%›UTHUTHRLONGUnited Therapeutics is pioneering zero-gravity drug manufacturing to reformulate IV-drip pulmonary treatments into subcutaneous syringes.$510.80-12.60%›RKLRKLBLONGRKLB is developing the Neutron medium-lift rocket to directly challenge SpaceX's launch monopoly.$63.75-52.15%›

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2mo

Trial Update, AI SPVs, Interaction Models, eBay Rejects, BuzzFeed Sold

IDEAS · 7

BEBELONGGas turbines sold out, so data centers turn to Bloom solid oxide fuel cells; demand booming.$207.21-26.53%›BREBRENTSHORTBiggest supply shock ever and oil is still cheap; buffers and a ceasefire mean the spike fades, not extends.$89.75+13.10%›KWEKWEBLONGA pre-arranged US-China deal at the Beijing summit lifts the whole China-equity complex; risk-on for China internet.$28.60-3.44%›LNGLNGLONGUS LNG infrastructure lead plus Qatar/Hormuz outage reprices America's largest, most-contracted exporter higher.$260.28+8.34%›

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2mo

Swatch AP Collab, Cerebras IPO, Trump Visits China, Match Group CEO Joins

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

MTCMTCHLONGMatch is turning around Tinder under founder-led leadership; metrics already improving after 6 months.$39.69+9.97%›

IDEAS · 6

CBRCBRSLONGCerebras IPO upsized and 20x oversubscribed on inference demand; expect a strong day-one pop.$201.85-28.54%›CRWCRWVSHORTCoreWeave's CapEx-to-revenue is 3.6x vs an idealized 1.8x, so unit economics are far worse than the model.$71.13+38.82%›CRCCRCLLONGQuasi-infinite offshore dollar demand routes through USDC, scaling Circle's float and reserve income.$63.84-51.88%›BREBRENTLONGHormuz stays shut and the peace deal collapses, keeping ~20% of seaborne oil off the market and Brent bid.$89.75-13.78%›

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2mo

Intel ❤️ Apple, Brian Chesky Joins, WNDR Leaks, Trial Reporting

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

ABNABNBLONGAirbnb growth re-accelerated from 10% to 18%, a marketplace inflection that's hard to reverse at scale.$148.91+2.98%›

IDEAS · 9

INTINTCLONGIntel re-emerging as US foundry champion: Apple deal joins NVIDIA, govt, Elon backers, stock ripping$88.51-30.43%›WHRWHRSHORTWhirlpool cut its dividend for the first time since the 1950s, signaling deep real-economy stress and structural decline$38.20+14.45%›FUNFUNLONGSix Flags is growing revenue, attendance and spend during economic uncertainty, an unexpected real-economy winner$17.68-22.16%›SGSGLONGSweetgreen leans into value wraps at $10-15 and scales G&A-light toward many multiples of its current store count$6.42-5.00%›

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2mo

$GME CEO Ryan Cohen LIVE on TBPN

POSITIONS · 4

TBTBPN

GMEGMELONGCohen wants to buy eBay, run it himself, and lift its earnings power and growth substantially$21.68-11.33%›EBAEBAYLONGeBay is a durable, undermanaged platform that can be cut hard and grown in live commerce under new ownership$114.88+8.07%›SHOSHOPLONGShopify firing on all cylinders: enterprise brands flooding in, 14% of US e-com, and agentic commerce orders up 13x$114.96+10.39%›GEVGEVLONGGE Vernova powers a third of world electricity and is sold out as AI and electrification demand surges.$973.82-10.40%›

IDEAS · 2

METMETALONGMeta is one of history's best businesses getting no AI credit while ad revenue grows 33%, but spend with no revenue acceleration caps it$566.04-8.23%›ONOONONLONGAgentic, merit-based shopping bypasses retail brand moats and surfaces premium DTC names like On, lifting ONON.$36.96+4.91%›

@TBPN

2mo

GameStop + eBay, Neural Computers, Elon vs OpenAI, Export Controls, Vibe Coded Projects

IDEAS · 7

GMEGMESHORTGameStop's $125 eBay bid is under-financed by ~$16B and may collapse; deal doubt pressures GME$21.68+11.70%›EBAEBAYLONGeBay is undervalued: $2B of cuttable cost plus a collectibles moat that gets more valuable in the AI era$114.88+6.22%›TRITRILONGThomson Reuters' tax AI tool (Code Counsel) is best-in-class moat; API launch later this year unlocks a huge market$96.37-0.74%›DRADRAMLONGMemory bandwidth, not GPU FLOPS, is the binding AI constraint, keeping HBM sold out and memory pricing tight.$50.26+17.12%›

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3mo

Mike Isaac (NYT) Joins, Earnings Review, Beautiful Data Centers, Coatue is Land Maxxing

IDEAS · 9

GOOGOOGLLONGGoogle won the AI capex debate: Search +19%, Cloud +63%, backlog doubled to $460B, full-stack play.$355.20-6.41%›AMZAMZNLONGAWS reaccelerating to 28% growth and chips crossing $20B run rate justify Amazon's record CapEx.$267.79-1.34%›METMETASHORTMeta's CapEx raise has no clean monetization path; market can't price the AGI bet, stock down ~10%.$566.04+7.93%›TSMTSMLONGIf Meta's capex buys the same compute at higher prices, the supply chain captures it; TSMC's pricing power wins.$396.69+0.01%›

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3mo

🟣 The Collison Brothers LIVE on TBPN

IDEAS · 4

CRCCRCLLONGStablecoin usage keeps climbing while crypto prices correct; USDC's issuer captures the decoupled growth.$63.84-29.92%›COICOINLONGAgentic AI makes stablecoins a new payment rail; Coinbase owns the USDC economics and the x402 rail.$144.55-21.95%›CRCCRCLSHORTBanks launch their own stablecoins under the Clarity/Genius regime; Circle's USDC moat and reserve-income model erode.$63.84+28.93%›NOWNOWSHORTSeat-to-usage billing shift strips predictability from per-seat SaaS, repricing ServiceNow's terminal value lower.$109.62-24.15%›

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3mo

Big Tech Earnings, Red vs. Blue Button, Quantum Computing, Goblin Mode Continues

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

HOOHOODLONGRobinhood compounds across 11 revenue lines and a $100T generational wealth transfer, crypto under 20%.$84.94+19.52%›

IDEAS · 7

METMETALONGMeta AI improvements hit ad revenue instantly, no diffusion lag, so AI CapEx converts to profit fastest here$566.04-15.05%›INTINTCLONGMarket is only beginning to digest a general CPU shortage; Intel reratings like NVIDIA did post-ChatGPT.$88.51-5.89%›RBLRBLXLONGRoblox Reality marries its engine with video world models, bringing AAA photorealism to its creator base.$35.68-35.35%›ETHETHLONGClarity Act gives non-Bitcoin tokens a security-to-commodity path, re-rating the broad token market higher.$1,862.45-16.81%›

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3mo

Goblin-Mode, Jon Gray from Blackstone Joins, Alex Epstein on OPEC, Trial Progresses

IDEAS · 8

MDLMDLNLONGMedline is a physical-world medical supplier with basically no AI disruption risk, easy to underwrite$39.22-13.94%›HLTHLTLONGHilton thrived through the Airbnb threat via a differentiated model; long-term winner Gray chairs$318.63-4.09%›INTINTCLONGAdvanced packaging is the new Moore's Law and the market is not pricing it; Intel re-rates on this$88.51+5.65%›COSCOSTLONGCostco compounded ~25x surviving e-commerce by being infrastructure-like with a strong value prop$942.85-5.58%›

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3mo

Zak Brown from McLaren Joins, Rick Caruso in the Ultradome, China Blocks Manus Sale, The Trial

IDEAS · 5

BABBABASHORTBeijing's fiat crackdown on AI founders chills the whole Chinese tech ecosystem and deepens decoupling, pressuring Chinese tech equity.$123.15+4.81%›METMETASHORTBeijing can weaponize Chinese ad spend over the blocked Manus deal, threatening ~10% of Meta's revenue.$566.04+15.05%›AMDAMDLONGAMD inference software is closing the gap on NVIDIA, turning Instinct GPUs into a credible second source and lifting datacenter share.$485.06+45.78%›NVDNVDALONGIf inference capacity decides the AI race, demand for the chips that produce tokens compounds, lifting NVIDIA.$198.14-9.21%›

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3mo

Intel Rips, Cursor's Plan, Thrive's Giant Bet, GPT 5.5

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

CRWCRWDLONGCrowdStrike rides expanding AI attack surface; shadow AI and agentic threats accelerate platform demand.$188.94-57.59%›

IDEAS · 5

INTINTCLONGAI agents need CPUs and the US wants a domestic foundry; 5 demand stories all point Intel up.$88.51+11.05%›ANTANTHROPICLONGTier-1 lab margins expand as model demand outruns inference supply; Anthropic's implied valuation climbs.—IDEA›PANPANWLONGRogue AI agents stealing credentials make identity-access security mandatory enterprise spend, lifting the platform owners.$328.19+86.22%›LYVLYVLONGAs AI floods the digital world, scarce live experiences gain pricing power and the dominant live-events owner re-rates.$177.00+11.71%›

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3mo

Meet the New Thiel Fellows

IDEAS · 2

EWZEWZLONGCapital fleeing China risk and US stagflation crowds into Brazil as the least bad EM, lifting its equities.$37.00-6.39%›METMETALONGMeta cuts 10% of staff to fund AI; structural efficiency signal supports a mega-cap margin re-rate.$566.04-12.81%›

@TBPN

3mo

Cursor? The Space Company, Craziest Images 2.0, Spirit Bailout

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

CRMCRMSHORTSalesforce gets gutted as AI makes legacy SaaS trivially replaceable; buy puts$187.78+3.02%›

IDEAS · 3

IGVIGVSHORTAI agents commoditize the software layer and break per-seat pricing, compressing SaaS multiples across the sector.$92.94-6.47%›NVDNVDALONGOrbital data centers are a new, well-funded demand vector for AI silicon, and the GPUs going up are NVIDIA's.$198.14-0.24%›ORAORALONGAI data centers need 24/7 firm clean power; geothermal becomes the under-owned answer, lifting the pure-play.$96.37-8.52%›

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3mo

Tim Cook 🐐 Retires, Mark Gurman Joins, Image 2, CARRGATE, Smell-O-Vision Founder Joins

IDEAS · 4

AAPAAPLLONGTernus-led Apple sharpens product focus with 6 new categories in pipeline; bullish long-term$303.48+12.15%›ORCORCLLONGOracle's core database keeps growing, not dying; if the market re-rates it as durable, the multiple expands.$127.64-31.19%›GOOGOOGLLONGApple outsourcing Siri's brain to Gemini hands Google the iPhone AI distribution win and confirms model leadership.$355.20+4.96%›GEVGEVLONGA financeable gas-to-nuclear conversion model pulls SMR deployment forward, lifting demand for the turbine and reactor maker on both ends.$973.82-2.88%›

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3mo

Verizon vs Salesforce, Signull Joins, Blue Origin's Test, Wild Tech Devices, Robot Marathon

IDEAS · 6

CRMCRMLONGBears wrong on Salesforce: AI makes CRM more valuable, not replaced; revenue reaccelerating to 10%+.$187.78-0.92%›ASTASTSSHORTAST satellite deployed to wrong orbit by Blue Origin; loss insured, stock rebounded from -16% to -6%.$59.88+25.89%›SPHSPHRLONGSphere is the most important architecture in 100 years; one in every major city; already crushed NVDA's return.$145.23+10.30%›XBIXBILONGPatent-cliff M&A wave forces Big Pharma to buy small biotech innovators at premiums, lifting equal-weight XBI.$146.75+8.55%›

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3mo

Nvidia: Car or Not Car? Cursor + xAI, TSMC & ASML, LLM Riddles

IDEAS · 5

NVDNVDASHORTNVIDIA's CUDA moat erodes as labs gain economic incentive to switch chips; margins compress$198.14-0.04%›AMDAMDLONGCUDA's software moat is cracking as porting tools mature; the named challenger AMD wins share as labs diversify off NVIDIA.$485.06+80.14%›HIIHIILONGUS races to close the China UUV gap and surging Navy undersea-drone procurement flows to the dominant UUV maker.$322.43-18.49%›TSMTSMLONGAs AI chips slide from monopoly to a car market, TSMC owns the packaging chokepoint every designer must use.$396.69+7.91%›

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3mo

AI-birds, Snap's Next Chapter, Amazon + Globalstar, Uber & Waymo, The Smart Glasses War

IDEAS · 6

AAPAAPLLONGApple wins the AI race from the sidelines: no GPU cash bonfire, just partnerships and devices like AI glasses.$303.48+15.81%›METMETALONGMeta smart glasses get real consumer adoption as cameras and audio devices even before AI features mature.$566.04-17.62%›UBEUBERSHORTAV expansion erodes Uber's take-rate model and forces defensive capex, pressuring the stock lower.$71.52+10.08%›BIRBIRDSHORTShell-company AI rebrands pump on the headline then fade; BIRD's GPU pivot follows the Long Blockchain arc down.$2.26+87.61%›

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3mo

The Case for Holidays, Artemis II Recap, Work vs Leisure, AI Backlash, Geopolitical Solutions

IDEAS · 3

BABBABALONGIf chip controls can't stop China's AI, its frontier labs re-rate; Alibaba's Qwen is the listed proxy.$123.15-4.92%›TSMTSMLONGAI silicon ages out fast and power caps force constant rack refresh, pulling forward fab demand at TSMC.$396.69+9.43%›LLYLLYLONGGLP-1 reframed as a longevity drug widens the market far past obesity, and Lilly is the listed winner of that class.$1,131.33+24.43%›

@TBPN

3mo

SpaceX Financials, Chimpanzee Civil War, Self-Driving Safety, Ferrari

IDEAS · 2

NOWNOWLONGIf AI structurally displaces white-collar labor, the vendor selling the automation captures the spend, lifting NOW.$109.62+29.58%›RACRACESHORTHybrid residuals crack faster than ICE; the used-market halo behind Ferrari's pricing power erodes.$387.68-8.12%›

@TBPN

3mo

Jassy's Shareholder Letter, Frontier Model Rollouts, Data Center Debates, The Next AI Capability

IDEAS · 5

AMZAMZNLONGAWS AI revenue at $15B run rate and capacity-constrained, monetizing as fast as installed; next CapEx wave funds bigger downstream FCF$267.79+14.85%›LLYLLYLONGAmazon distributing Lilly's oral GLP-1 pill while compounders get shut down funnels weight-loss demand to the branded maker.$1,131.33+19.34%›NVDNVDALONGVisual reasoning AI is the next compute-hungry vertical, and the engineering/CAD layer runs on NVIDIA silicon and models.$198.14+9.26%›COICOINLONGUS crypto thaw pulls liquidity and founders onshore; the dominant regulated on-ramp captures the returning flow.$144.55-15.57%›

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3mo

Meta Drops New Model, Mythos, RoboLamp

IDEAS · 6

METMETALONGMeta ships closed near-frontier model MuseSpark; resolves AI-spend uncertainty, stock up ~8%.$566.04-8.11%›VCXVCXSHORTVCX trades at 6x NAV with 400% borrow cost; premium can't last, normalizes down.$33.34+72.58%›CIBCIBRLONGLLMs widen the attack surface and uncover more flaws, turning enterprise security from a low priority into urgent spend.$90.57+39.49%›NVDNVDALONGIf AI scaling laws hold, NVIDIA's compounding compute demand justifies a valuation multiples above today.$198.14+8.35%›

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3mo

Tokenmaxxing, SF Street Name Auction, Corporate Retreat Gone Wrong, Citrini

IDEAS · 7

INTINTCLONGIntel becomes the demand-backed US frontier fab as TSMC underinvests and a chip bottleneck looms.$88.51+68.63%›METMETALONGMeta is a top AI winner: better ad targeting and more ad delivery driving strong earnings.$566.04-0.58%›WDAWDAYSHORTAI could fully wipe out legacy SaaS like Workday as models build replacements off the bat$158.26-22.20%›XYZXYZLONGSquare is repositioning hard for the AI era with remote-first small teams, framed as a winner approach$79.76+31.94%›

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3mo

We're Back! $1B GLP-1 Lessons. AI Funding Debates. China's 2030 Master Plan.

IDEAS · 8

LLYLLYLONGLilly's oral GLP-1 (non-peptide) just got approved, validating its pipeline as compounders peddle baseless oral tirzepatide.$1,131.33+22.78%›LCILCIDSHORTSaudi PIF controls Lucid and forces it to build a Saudi factory for strategic, not commercial, reasons.$7.47+21.32%›NVDNVDALONGFrontier-lab training spend accelerates through the decade; the compute supplier capturing those dollars gets a sustained bid.$198.14+11.61%›PLTPLTRLONGIran war exposed a US autonomy gap; procurement pivots to AI-orchestrated systems, and the kill-chain software layer compounds.$125.62-15.37%›

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4mo

OpenAI Acquires TBPN

POSITIONS · 1

TBTBPN

CRCCRCLLONGUSDC overtakes Tether and becomes the rails for the agent economy, pushing the monetary base to trillions.$63.84-31.00%›

IDEAS · 6

CRWCRWDLONGCrowdStrike sits as the security OS catching malicious AI-generated code as vibe coding floods the world$188.94-52.06%›NVDNVDALONGSpace data centers become a real category and NVIDIA's Space Rubin chip gives it the leading exposure.$198.14+13.55%›OWLOWLSHORTGating its own private-credit funds after a redemption flood reprices Blue Owl's fee base and equity lower.$10.29-20.41%›HIMHIMSLONGGLP-1 telehealth demand is so deep new entrants scale to $400M fast; the listed proxy re-rates up.$27.51+47.31%›

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4mo

Eddy Cue Joins for Apple's 50th, Artemis Launch, Jamie Dimon's Plan, Save Snap Now, SpaceX IPO

IDEAS · 8

SNASNAPLONGActivist Irenik says Snap can 7x to $26 via cost cuts, AI ad monetization, governance reform.$4.69-4.89%›NVDNVDALONGOpenAI's $852B round confirms Nvidia stays the foundation of training and most inference at massive scale.$198.14+10.80%›RTXRTXSHORTRaytheon is the costly radar incumbent ripe for disruption as new entrants democratize phased arrays$212.11-6.94%›CRWCRWVLONGCoreWeave funds GPU buildout at investment-grade cost as credit demand validates the model$71.13-10.62%›

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