Monetary Matters — sniff.trade

Monetary Matters

Jack Farley interviews top macro, markets, and monetary experts on rates, the dollar, commodities, equities, and credit.

7 episodes · 45 trades · 1 speakers

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TRACKED TRADES

@Monetary Matters

3d

Why Yield Curve Control is the Only Way to Stop a Global Bond Crisis | Luke Gromen

IDEAS · 8

GLDGLDLONGGold is a mandatory buy as the US debt spiral and positive real yields guarantee eventual yield curve control and currency debasement.$370.07+0.57%›SPYSPYLONGBroad equities will surge as the Treasury and Fed are inevitably forced to backstop the AI infrastructure buildout to prevent an unwind.$734.77-2.66%›TLTTLTSHORTLong-term bonds will sell off as the Fed's inevitable bailout of the AI sector drives inflation higher and worsens the debt supply crisis.$82.16+2.24%›UUPUUPSHORTThe US dollar will decline as the government is forced to print money to backstop the AI sector and manage its massive sovereign debt.$27.66+5.24%›

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@Monetary Matters

5d

Next Financial Crisis Unlikely To Start in Private Markets (Fundamentals Solid!) | Nicholas Brooks

IDEAS · 4

TLTTLTSHORTLong-end US Treasury yields will keep marching higher as investors lose patience with unchecked government debt and rising interest payments.$82.16+3.99%›EWYEWYLONGSouth Korea is a direct beneficiary of the AI capital expenditure boom as wealth creation from the supply chain boosts its underlying economy.$158.49-3.18%›EWTEWTLONGTaiwan is a direct beneficiary of the AI capital expenditure boom as its role in the supply chain drives wealth creation and economic growth.$97.48-1.80%›UUPUUPSHORTThe US dollar faces medium-term downward pressure as the US runs unchecked 6% to 8% fiscal deficits while European nations actively target deficit reduction.$27.66+3.71%›

@Monetary Matters

1w

The Next Financial Crisis Isn't In AI, It's In US Treasuries | Russell Clark

IDEAS · 5

TLTTLTSHORTUS Treasuries will hit a 10% yield as governments push 7% wage growth to fix housing affordability.$82.16-0.67%›GLDGLDLONGGold reclaims its historical role as the primary foreign reserve asset as nations fear US Treasury confiscation.$370.07-1.94%›SMHSMHLONGSemiconductors are the new oil of the modern economy, with prices supported by structural supply restrictions and geopolitical bans on Chinese equipment purchases.$536.16-6.04%›GOOGOOGLSHORTGoogle's core advertising moat is structurally threatened as users increasingly bypass traditional search for cleaner answers from LLMs like ChatGPT.$355.25-9.98%›

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@Monetary Matters

1w

The Next Financial Crisis Isn’t In Banks. It’s In Insurance & Private Credit | Nick Nemeth

IDEAS · 7

APOAPOSHORTAlternative asset managers' insurance balance sheets are hiding massive private credit leverage and offer a prime short opportunity.$127.94-9.57%›CORCORNLONGGeopolitical choke points threaten nitrogen fertilizer supplies, which will force farmers to cut application and tighten corn yields.$17.43-4.47%›QQQQQQLONGAggregate AI capital expenditure is fundamentally justified despite inevitable individual losers.$675.76-4.68%›ARCARCCSHORTAres Capital is severely overrated as its premium valuation ignores a riskier subordinated debt profile compared to heavily discounted peers.$18.43+1.96%›

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@Monetary Matters

3w

There’s Nowhere Near Enough Senior Housing | Josh Pristaw on Demographic-Guaranteed Demand

IDEAS · 1

XLRXLRELONGReal estate is entering a new cycle as prices have adjusted 20-25% and demand outstrips supply across most asset classes.$44.56+0.70%›

@Monetary Matters

4w

The Terrifying Truth About Next 5 Years in the Stock Market | Erik YWR on “Reverse Crash” Risk

IDEAS · 18

SPYSPYLONGThe S&P 500 is heading to 10,000 as nominal earnings growth accelerates to 12-15% and justifies a 25x multiple against low real yields.$734.77-1.60%›MUMULONGMicron remains deeply undervalued at a 6-8x multiple despite massive AI-driven earnings growth.$809.71-19.29%›SSNSSNLFLONGSamsung is a screaming buy at seven times earnings as it leads the global memory and technology supply chain.$64.34-0.83%›EWYEWYLONGThe South Korean index will continue its massive run as its underlying earnings grow even faster than its 100% price appreciation.$158.49-10.61%›

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@Monetary Matters

4w

The First Great Depression: Lessons from the 1873 Global Financial Collapse | Liaquat Ahamed

IDEAS · 2

TLTTLTSHORTLong-term bonds face structural headwinds as the 2020s shift into an era of systematic inflation and constantly spiking interest rates.$82.16+5.44%›ACWACWXLONGInternational equities offer unrecognized upside as the AI infrastructure buildout taps into a global supply chain far beyond US borders.$74.59-1.08%›