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“Nvidia holds a $3 billion stake in CoreWeave, which has spent roughly $7.5 billion buying Nvidia GPUs … every dollar Nvidia invested has boomeranged home.”
@Navigating Uncertainty
CoreWeave is the levered weak link absorbing Nvidia's circular financing; vulnerable when capital dries up
CRWVSHORT@ $75.42
$71.96+4.59%
since call Mar 29
peak +18.6%
“AI datacenter load is a structural power demand shock; merchant generators capture surging wholesale prices.”
@Navigating Uncertainty
AI datacenter load is a structural power demand shock; merchant generators capture surging wholesale prices.
VSTLONG@ $152.54
$144.77-5.10%
since call Mar 29
peak +9.0%
00:00SHORT
“If depreciation is way understated, as I fear it may be, the reported earnings are overstated and collateral values underpinning billions in debt are more…”
@Navigating Uncertainty
Hyperscaler AI capex understates depreciation, so reported earnings are inflated and a correction looms
MSFTSHORT@ $359.91
$471.14-30.91%
since call Mar 29
“Today, Nvidia invests $100 billion in OpenAI. OpenAI’s CFO acknowledges that “most of the money will go back to Nvidia.” Nvidia holds a $3 billion stake in…”
@Navigating Uncertainty
AI infra boom is a bubble priced like the 1990s telecom buildout; repricing ahead for Nvidia and the chain
NVDASHORT@ $166.24
$199.41-19.95%
since call Mar 29
“JPMorgan projects $300 billion annually in AI-related investment-grade bond issuance.”
@Navigating Uncertainty
AI bond supply lifts borrowing costs across IG credit, widening spreads and pressuring corporate bond prices lower.
LQDSHORT@ $109.23
$106.99+2.06%
since call Mar 29
peak +2.1%
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